Chouinard, Normand
	des Greniers, Lise
	Desrochers, Caroline
	Fontaine, Ruth
	Hernandez, Victoria
	Joannette, Barbara
	Therrien, Alain
Incumbent:
	Alain Therri

References:

Population (2016): Population (2011): Private dwellings: Dwellings occupied by usual residents: Land area Population Density			105496 99811 41471 40628 278.94 km² 378.20/km²
2019 Results - 2019 Prediction
	Alain Therri	25707	41.80%
	Jean-Claude Poissant **	22504	36.60%
	Isabelle Lapointe	5540	9.00%
	Victoria Hernandez	4744	7.70%
	Barbara Joannette	2565	4.20%
	Gregory Yablunovsky	393	0.60%
	Normand Chouinard	100	0.20%
2015 Results - 2015 Prediction    Reference - Pundits’ Guide (2013 Rep. Order)
	Jean-Claude Poissant	20993	36.50%
	Christian Picard	15107	26.20%
	Pierre Chicoine	13174	22.90%
	Yves Perras	6859	11.90%
	Joanne Tomas	1235	2.10%
	Normand Chouinard	204	0.40%
2011 Results (redistributed)
		4786	9.45%
		25308	49.96%
		6696	13.22%
		13034	25.73%
		735	1.45%
Other		91	0.18%
Component Riding(s) (2003 Representation Order)
Châteauguay-Saint-Constant    (51.18% of voters in current riding)    2011/2008/2004 Predictions    Reference - Pundits’ Guide
Brossard-La Prairie    (48.82% of voters in current riding)    2011/2008/2004 Predictions    Reference - Pundits’ Guide

	18/09/21	J.F. Breton 207.253.54.66
Alain Therrien est un excellent candidat de terrain et le Mainstreet, il y a une semaine, le montrait en avance. Aucune raison que la situation se soit inversée. Victoire du Bloc.
	17/09/21	George 104.232.37.109
Mainstreet of Sept 11 has a healthy Bloc lead here, 42 BQ to 32 Lib among decided voters. https://ipolitics.ca/wp-content/uploads/2021/09/LaPrairie-iPolitics-12September2021.pdf
	07/09/21	R.O. 24.146.13.237
Alain Therrien was first elected in 2019 but had previously been a Parti Quebecois member of the Quebec legislature for the area. the riding has been bloc before but also liberal and ndp. The liberals with an incumbent mp still lost this riding to the bloc by 5 % last election. I’m not seeing any reason as to why that would change this year seems likely to stay bloc.
	15/08/21	A.S. 99.225.52.35
One of the more abrasive Bloqistes (i.e. the one who triggered Jagmeet's accusations of racism), Therrien really got his seat as a consolation prize after being trounced provincially for the PQ. I mentioned in '19 that the trends were not in the Bloc's favour unless they got 1/3 of seats in QC; well, they *did* make that benchmark, and this was one of those seats. But it's because the Lib share stood still, while the Bloc leapfrogged flor a 5-point margin. And that narrowness is why it remains a likely top Lib target. (But it used to be the Brossard/La Prairie border that was full-stop btw/Lib and Bloc country. Now La Prairie & Candiac are on the roughly Lib side, while Ste Catharine/St Constant buoy the Bloc.)
	25/05/21	J.F. Breton 38.23.227.9
Toujours une lutte très intéressante dans La Prairie. Alain Therrien est présent et bien en vue dans le caucus bloquiste. Ceci étant, la dynamique dans la circonscription permet toujours aux Libéraux d'offrir une solide performance. Je m'abstiendrai de désigner un gagnant, tant qu'on n'aura pas un portrait final des candidats en lice, particulièrement chez les Libéraux.