Dickins, Catherine
	Fergus, Greg
	Fleury, Eric
	Gendron, Samuel
	Gnocchini-Messier, Simon
	Lafleur, Josée
	LeBlanc, Mike
	Perion, Sandrine
	Provost, Simon
Incumbent:
	Greg Fergus

References:

Population (2016): Population (2011): Private dwellings: Dwellings occupied by usual residents: Land area Population Density			105419 103447 52089 47943 62.11 km² 1697.30/km²
2019 Results - 2019 Prediction
	Greg Fergus **	29732	54.10%
	Joanie Riop	8011	14.60%
	Nicolas Thibodeau	7467	13.60%
	Mike Duggan	4979	9.10%
	Josée Poirier Defoy	3869	7.00%
	Rowen Tanguay	638	1.20%
	Sébastien Grenier	195	0.40%
	Alexandre Deschênes	102	0.20%
2015 Results - 2015 Prediction    Reference - Pundits’ Guide (2013 Rep. Order)
	Greg Fergus	28478	51.40%
	Nycole Turmel **	17472	31.50%
	Étienne Boulrice	4278	7.70%
	Maude Chouinard-Boucher	3625	6.50%
	Roger Fleury	1035	1.90%
	Sean J. Mulligan	291	0.50%
	Luc Desjardins	160	0.30%
	Gabriel Girard-Bernier	101	0.20%
2011 Results (redistributed)
		5050	10.04%
		29552	58.78%
		10304	20.49%
		4362	8.68%
		1012	2.01%
Component Riding(s) (2003 Representation Order)
Hull-Aylmer    (100% of voters in current riding)    2011/2008/2004 Predictions    Reference - Pundits’ Guide

	31/08/21	GritBusters 199.119.232.210
As the former head of PSAC, Nycole Turmel was tailor-made for this riding, and she still lost to Greg Fergus by 20 points in 2015, which was also a more friendly election than this one for the NDP in Québec. Walking around the riding, I see that all the NDP billboards have Singh and Boulerice whereas the other parties' all feature the local candidate. Unfortunately, with the NDP's emerging national strength not reflected either provincially or locally, the Liberals should easily hold the riding.
	15/08/21	A.S. 99.225.52.35
When it comes to QC vs ON, if Gatineau's boring suburban Liberalism echoes that of Orleans, Hull-Aylmer's got more of an Ottawa-Vanier quirkiness about it--even the distant-2nd Bloc-NDP split echoes the distant-2nd CPC-NDP split natural condition in O-V. (And I *did* foresee the '19 likelihood of the NDP bluffing into 2nd despite the party polling poorly in QC at large--well, if it weren't for the advance polls, they *would* have been 2nd.)
	09/05/21	J.F. Breton 38.23.227.9
Peu de risque ici pour les Libéraux. La seule circonscription qui sera l'objet d'une lutte en Outaouais sera Argenteuil-La Petite Nation. Victoire libérale sans trop d'encombre.