Election Prediction Project
www.electionprediction.com

Gatineau
2021 Federal Election ~ Élections fédérales


Prediction Changed
2021-05-10 21:54:40
 



Constituency Profile

Candidates:



Bernard, Joel E.

Grenier, Sébastien

Jemmah, Rachid

Lavoie, Luc

MacKinnon, Steven

Nadeau, Geneviève

Rengel, Fernanda

Saint-Jean, Mathieu

Soublière, Pierre


Incumbent:

Steven MacKinnon

References:
Population (2016):
Population (2011):

Private dwellings:
Dwellings occupied by usual residents:

Land area
Population Density

107464
106424

47576
45549

118.97 km²
903.30/km²


2019 Results - 2019 Prediction

Steven MacKinnon ** 2908452.10%
Geneviève Nade 1192621.40%
Eric Chaurette 612811.00%
Sylvie Goneau 574510.30%
Guy Dostaler 22644.10%
Mario-Roberto Lam 5601.00%
Pierre Soublière 760.10%


2015 Results - 2015 Prediction
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide (2013 Rep. Order)

Steven MacKinnon 3107653.80%
Françoise Boivin ** 1535226.60%
Philippe Boily 54559.40%
Luc Angers 47338.20%
Guy Dostaler 9421.60%
Guy J. Bellavance 1480.30%
Pierre Soublière 940.20%


2011 Results (redistributed)

41108.01%
3189462.13%
708213.80%
766414.93%
5861.14%


Component Riding(s) (2003 Representation Order)


   Gatineau
   (100% of voters in current riding)
   2011/2008/2004 Predictions
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide


15/08/21 A.S.
99.225.52.35
A pretty boring likely-hold as it now stands: 2 consecutive elections of MacKinnon sweeping the polls, the Francoise Boivin NDP interlude now forgotten, the Bloc having had the competitive stuffing knocked out of it. More than ever, the NCR Liberals as a big-tent default option--like a QC-side echo of ‘Orleans suburbanism’
09/05/21 J.F. Breton
38.23.227.9
Peu de risque ici pour les Libéraux. La seule circonscription qui sera l'objet d'une lutte en Outaouais sera Argenteuil-La Petite Nation. Victoire libérale sans trop d'encombre.



Navigate to Canada 2021 Home | Provincial/Regional Index | Submission

Canada Federal Election - 2021 - Élections fédérales canadiennes
Election Prediction Project - www.electionprediction.com
© Election Prediction Project, 1999-2021 - Email Webmaster