Election Prediction Project

2021 Federal Election ~ Élections fédérales

Prediction Changed
2021-05-10 21:54:32

Constituency Profile


Bazelais, Jude

Dhillon, Anju

Jenneau, Cloé Rose

Mariani, Laura

Ngamaleu Teumeni, Fabiola

Patterson, Michael


Anju Dhillon

Population (2016):
Population (2011):

Private dwellings:
Dwellings occupied by usual residents:

Land area
Population Density



49.70 km²

2019 Results - 2019 Prediction

Anju Dhillon ** 2782152.90%
Jean-Frédéric Vaud 897417.10%
Lori Morrison 620711.80%
Céline Laquerre 554310.50%
Réjean Malette 28985.50%
Arash Torbati 5281.00%
Fang Hu 4260.80%
Xavier Watso 1770.30%

2015 Results - 2015 Prediction
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide (2013 Rep. Order)

Anju Dhillon 2997454.90%
Isabelle Morin ** 1176921.60%
Daniela Chivu 604911.10%
Jean-Frédéric Vaudry 53389.80%
Vincent J. Carbonneau 12452.30%
Soulèye Ndiaye 2300.40%

2011 Results (redistributed)

Other 3610.79%

Component Riding(s) (2003 Representation Order)

   (55.97% of voters in current riding)
   2011/2008/2004 Predictions
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide

   (44.03% of voters in current riding)
   2011/2008/2004 Predictions
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide

01/09/21 R.O.
Anju Dhillon was first elected in 2015 and re elected in 2019. The riding is a long time liberal area of montreal and likely to stay liberal.
15/08/21 A.S.
As I anticipated, that Franco-rogue tendency in Lachine would ‘go back to the Bloc’--the flurry of light blue polls proves it--yet for the NDP to still finish ahead of CPC and be the 2nd-place party in Dorval might not have been anticipated by many. Still, that's all fighting it out in the teens, and Dhillon got triple the vote of her nearest challenger. I guess she reflexively proves that Quebecers (or at least, Ile de Montrealers) aren't as averse to voting for Sikhs as the ‘Jagmeet won't sell’ argument would have it...
09/05/21 J.F. Breton
On voit mal comment Dhillon pourrait perdre cette circonscription très libérale du sud-ouest de l'île de Montréal. Le résultat de la dernière élection parle de lui-même.

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