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Compton-Stanstead
2021 Federal Election ~ Élections fédérales


Prediction Changed
2021-09-19 15:19:51
 



Constituency Profile

Candidates:



Allen, Geneva

Bibeau, Marie-Claude

Bourassa, Yves

Bresse, Nathalie

Dodier, Sylvain

Gendron, Déitane

Longpré, Sylvain

Tremblay, Pierre


Incumbent:

Marie-Claude Bibeau

References:
Population (2016):
Population (2011):

Private dwellings:
Dwellings occupied by usual residents:

Land area
Population Density

105459
101946

48816
43646

4560.51 km²
23.10/km²


2019 Results - 2019 Prediction

Marie-Claude Bibeau ** 2173137.30%
David Beno 1857131.90%
Jessy Mc Neil 844614.50%
Naomie Mathieu Chauvette 56079.60%
Jean Rousseau 30445.20%
Paul Reed 5861.00%
Jonathan Therrien 2520.40%


2015 Results - 2015 Prediction
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide (2013 Rep. Order)

Marie-Claude Bibeau 2058236.90%
Jean Rousseau ** 1530027.40%
France Bonsant 1155120.70%
Gustavo Labrador 697812.50%
Korie Marshall 10851.90%
Kévin Côté 3150.60%


2011 Results (redistributed)

590011.85%
2353147.28%
597011.99%
1315326.43%
12102.43%
Other 50.01%


Component Riding(s) (2003 Representation Order)


   Compton-Stanstead
   (93.65% of voters in current riding)
   2011/2008/2004 Predictions
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide


   Sherbrooke
   (6.35% of voters in current riding)
   2011/2008/2004 Predictions
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide


15/09/21 R.O.
24.146.13.237
Little has been said about this one and not sure if any party leaders have been to the riding. Marie Claude Bibeau was first elected in 2015 and eventually became a cabinet minister. The riding has somewhat of a swing history. Been bloc , ndp and liberal since 2004. Mainly rural and borders 2 cpc ridings to the north yet the conservatives haven’t been strong here. so mainly a liberal/bloc race this election.
15/08/21 A.S.
99.225.52.35
No prediction in light of '19's narrowed race. Still, the margin was wider here than in Brome-Missisquoi--a bit Bibeau's cabinet incumbency; a bit your usual Stanstead-and-Lennoxville reasons; and a bit, perhaps, that greater Sherbrooke is ‘moderating’ (whereas B-M's urbanism is more ‘small-town’, less minor-metropolitan). So perhaps I should question that non-prediction. (And a measure of the brewing Jagmeet effect upon the campus electorate: the central Bishops U poll actually went NDP.)
09/05/21 J.F. Breton
38.23.227.9
Peu de risque pour Marie-Claude Bibeau dans cette région des Cantons-de-l'Est. Comme toujours, son principal opposant sera bloquiste. Ce sera plus serré que pour certains de ses collègues ministres, mais sa position et sa notoriété seront un plus vers la victoire.



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