Coly, René-Paul
	Cyr, Wayne
	Lacroix, Michel Marc
	Lamontagne, Marie-Christine
	Palardy-Dion, Jacques
	Paul-Hus, Pierre
	Pelletier, Daniel
Incumbent:
	Pierre Paul-Hus

References:

Population (2016): Population (2011): Private dwellings: Dwellings occupied by usual residents: Land area Population Density			107254 103285 48289 47067 111.44 km² 962.50/km²
2019 Results - 2019 Prediction
	Pierre Paul-Hus **	22484	38.00%
	Alain D'E	16053	27.20%
	René-Paul Coly	12584	21.30%
	Guillaume Bourdeau	4554	7.70%
	Samuel Moisan-Domm	2042	3.50%
	Joey Pronovost	1379	2.30%
2015 Results - 2015 Prediction    Reference - Pundits’ Guide (2013 Rep. Order)
	Pierre Paul-Hus	24608	42.20%
	Jean Côté	13525	23.20%
	Anne-Marie Day **	11690	20.10%
	Marc Antoine Turmel	7177	12.30%
	Nathalie Baudet	1256	2.20%
2011 Results (redistributed)
		16288	30.29%
		24197	44.99%
		3511	6.53%
		8756	16.28%
		837	1.56%
Other		189	0.35%
Component Riding(s) (2003 Representation Order)
Charlesbourg-Haute-Saint-Charles    (99.59% of voters in current riding)    2011/2008/2004 Predictions    Reference - Pundits’ Guide
Louis-Saint-Laurent    (0.41% of voters in current riding)    2011/2008/2004 Predictions    Reference - Pundits’ Guide

	17/08/21	A.S. 99.225.52.35
Well, we *are* dealing with a national Conservative party that's showing signs of blowing cylinders; and with that in mind, a non-prediction bows to the technical likelihood of this being the most vulnerable of the seats they presently hold in the Capitale-Nationale (unless Blaney's retirement opens something up). However, Quebec Conservativism might well be a power unto itself by now, and it's not like the Lib or Bloc alternatives would be terribly prepossessing or galvanizing--and the fact that the Bloc still couldn't come within 10 points in '19 is telling. Inertia is PP-H's friend--but national party quicksand could still be his enemy, and I'll allow for that.
	13/08/21	Dr Bear 71.7.146.143
I do not understand why this is listed as TCTC. The Quebec City region is largely reliably fertile ground for the Conservatives and this seat is no exception. It will take a massive swing away from the CPC in Quebec to shift this seat. Unless the BQ or the Liberals have a star candidate, then Conservative hold.
	09/05/21	J.F. Breton 38.23.227.9
La région de la Capitale-Nationale est un terreau fertile pour les Conservateurs. A titre d'exemple, lors d'un récent sondage au niveau provoncial, la CAQ obtenait 52% et le PCQ 14%, les partis de gauche (PQ et QS) ne récoltant que des miettes. L'appui conservateur est d'autant plus facile dans les couronnes de Québec, comme Charlesbourg. Pierre-Paul Hus est très présent et bien en vue. Réélection des Conservateurs.