Blanchette-Joncas, Maxime
	Bureau-Civil, Noémi
	Gagnon, France
	Hodges, Megan
	Lajoie, Léonie
	Lajoie, Sylvain
	Raymond, Michel
	Tardy, Jean
Incumbent:
	Maxime Blanchette-Jonc

References:

Population (2016): Population (2011): Private dwellings: Dwellings occupied by usual residents: Land area Population Density			84918 84809 44774 39005 7741.02 km² 11.00/km²
2019 Results - 2019 Prediction
	Maxime Blanchette-Jonc	17314	37.80%
	Guy Caron **	13050	28.50%
	Chantal Pilon	10095	22.10%
	Nancy Brassard-Fortin	4073	8.90%
	Jocelyn Rioux	824	1.80%
	Pierre Lacombe	232	0.50%
	Lysane Picker-Paquin	179	0.40%
2015 Results - 2015 Prediction    Reference - Pundits’ Guide (2013 Rep. Order)
	Guy Caron **	19374	43.10%
	Pierre Cadieux	12594	28.00%
	Johanne Carignan	8673	19.30%
	Francis Fortin	3363	7.50%
	Louise Boutin	669	1.50%
	Sébastien CôRhino Côrriveau	273	0.60%
2011 Results (redistributed)
		6218	14.56%
		18360	42.98%
		4101	9.60%
		13170	30.83%
		867	2.03%
Component Riding(s) (2003 Representation Order)
Rimouski-Neigette-Témiscouata-Les Basques    (100% of voters in current riding)    2011/2008/2004 Predictions    Reference - Pundits’ Guide

	01/09/21	R.O. 24.146.13.237
Maxime Joncas was first elected in 2019 so not a well known mp. this riding had been ndp from 2011-15 when Guy Caron mp although before that a long time bloc quebecois riding in rural Quebec. Likely to stay bloc this year.
	18/08/21	QuebecCityOliver 184.162.205.23
I don't know where Sam is getting his information, but according to R-C, Guy Caron is doing other things this fall (Guy Caron annonce sa candidature أ  la mairie de Rimouski). I think the Liberals may move into a solid 2nd place but one has to fancy the BQ unless something happens to destroy the party.
	17/08/21	Sam 188.28.207.33
You've got to admire Caron's decision to run again - he has the credentials to be doing something far more fruitful. He always seemed to come across to pundits as far stronger than his result suggested - ultimately the NDP weren't going to perform well here, and he lost in line with the national picture. I see no reason why he will win in this environment.
	17/08/21	A.S. 99.225.52.35
As w/Berthier-Maskinonge, it's an all-but-inevitability that '19's vestigial NDP incumbency vote will float to the BQ default--it accords perfectly well w/pre-Guy Caron voting patterns, as well as enduring provincial patterns. (Though it's interesting that the Libs managed a 20%+ share anyway in '19--maybe the overwrought Lib predictions that year *weren't* so misguided?)
	22/05/21	J.F. Breton 38.23.227.9
Sans le retour de Caron du NPD, peu de risque pour le Bloc dans cette région péquiste au provincial, et ce, malgré les déboires judiciaires du député provincial Harold LeBel.