Clarke, Alupa
	Elhak, Dalila
	Garon, Camille Esther
	Gingras, Ann
	Moreau, Claude
	Verret, Lyne
	Vignola, Julie
Incumbent:
	Julie Vigno

References:

Population (2016): Population (2011): Private dwellings: Dwellings occupied by usual residents: Land area Population Density			96029 92944 50918 48440 33.44 km² 2871.50/km²
2019 Results - 2019 Prediction
	Julie Vigno	15149	30.20%
	Alupa Clarke **	13185	26.30%
	Antoine Bujold	13020	25.90%
	Simon-Pierre Beaudet	5599	11.20%
	Dalila Elhak	2127	4.20%
	Alicia Bédard	1033	2.10%
	Claude Moreau	78	0.20%
2015 Results - 2015 Prediction    Reference - Pundits’ Guide (2013 Rep. Order)
	Alupa Clarke	15461	30.60%
	Raymond Côté **	12881	25.50%
	Antoine Bujold	12854	25.40%
	Doni Berberi	7467	14.80%
	Dalila Elhak	1220	2.40%
	Francis Bedard	423	0.80%
	Claude Moreau	128	0.30%
	Bladimir Laborit	124	0.20%
2011 Results (redistributed)
		12031	25.28%
		21847	45.91%
		3025	6.36%
		9584	20.14%
		884	1.86%
Other		221	0.46%
Component Riding(s) (2003 Representation Order)
Beauport-Limoilou    (94.01% of voters in current riding)    2011/2008/2004 Predictions    Reference - Pundits’ Guide
Montmorency-Charlevoix-Haute-Côte-Nord    (5.99% of voters in current riding)    2011/2008/2004 Predictions    Reference - Pundits’ Guide

	11/09/20	J.F. Breton 38.23.227.9
Circonscription ciblée par les conservateurs. Le sondage Mainstreet du début septembre place les bloquistes en troisième place, derrière les libéraux. Ils auront sans doute remonté dans les intentions de vote, suivant le psychodrame du débat en anglais. Mais la sortie de vote des conservateurs sera sans doute plus motivée que celle des bloquistes, le Bloc étant uniquement une valeur refuge au moindre mouvement émotif des Québécois. Alupa Clarke retrouvera son siège.
	10/09/21	LyoGrlx 74.14.171.99
Mainstreet did a poll in this riding and had the CPC 4 points in front of the Liberals, putting the current Bloc MP in 3rd position. Of course the race will be tight until Election Day, but if the numbers stay where they are until then, Mr Clarke could be back in Ottawa after losing this seat to the Bloc two years ago. I expect similar results as 2015/19, giving the CPC enough votes to slip through the Libs and Bloc in this weird working-class/suburbia riding dynamic.
	09/09/21	QuebecCityOliver 184.162.205.23
I suspect this will be one of the last predictions made on this site simply because it is going to be hard to predict who will win - got a polling firm calling last night during a blackout that took down a large part of downtown Québec City - and also my landline. There is no PPC but there is the weird Free Party - Very hard to call, are there some weird Duclos tailcoats / Sol Zanetti crossovers to the Liberals that can give a 3rd seat to the LPC in Québec City or can the Bloc find a bounce? Who the hell knows!
	03/09/21	R.O. 24.146.13.237
Julie Vignola was first elected here in 2019 beating Conservative mp Alupa Clarke by a small margin who is running again this election . The riding has bounced between bloc and conservatives in recent elections. With the cpc doing better in Quebec and riding being in Quebec city area its one that’s likely to be competitive.
	17/08/21	A.S. 99.225.52.35
Weird 3-way dynamic here--and potentially 4-way, in case some kind of ‘Jagmeet's Limoilou’ fire is triggered. Until the Bloc caught fire, what many were expecting in '19 was a ‘CPC outerburbs, Lib inner city’ type of race--well, CPC held the outerburbs, but the Libs wound up ironically tag-teaming the Bloc in the inner polls, and in fact the Cons were reduced to *4th* party status in much of the heart of Limoilou. This time, who knows--and if it's Bloc vs CPC, it'll only be in terms of a ‘polling station race’, much like '19. Because even if Alupa Clarke's running again, his party's straits certainly doesn't guarantee 2nd place for him, particularly as he was already within 200 votes of 3rd in '19...
	15/08/21	QuebecCityOliver 184.162.205.23
Too early to say, but, of course, one has to predict that someone will win. My home riding so always of great interest to me. I think that Clarke will struggle to reach 30% of the vote - obviously, it is possible to win ridings in Quebec City with 30% but one has to assume that the BQ will surpass that percentage. I think the Quebec riding is a lock for Duclos which is kind of silly when your majority was 1000 and then cut to 325. I still think his vote will continue to go up and if the Liberals were to target Beauport-Limoilou they could win it.
	18/05/21	J.F. Breton 38.23.227.9
Lutte intéressante à prévoir entre le Bloc et les Conservateurs, avec les Libéraux qui pourraient jouer les trouble-fêtes. Trop tôt pour déclarer un gagnant.