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Ahuntsic-Cartierville
2021 Federal Election ~ Élections fédérales


Prediction Changed
2021-05-10 21:52:45
 



Constituency Profile

Candidates:



Chaabi, Ghada

Chevalier, Manon

Duarte, Steven

Joli-Coeur, Luc

Joly, Mélanie

Simonyan, Anna


Incumbent:

Mélanie Joly

References:
Population (2016):
Population (2011):

Private dwellings:
Dwellings occupied by usual residents:

Land area
Population Density

117447
110473

54073
50908

21.72 km²
5407.10/km²


2019 Results - 2019 Prediction

Mélanie Joly ** 2890452.40%
André Parize 1197421.70%
Zahia El-Masri 628411.40%
Kathy Laframboise 40137.30%
Jean-Michel Lavarenne 33526.10%
Raymond Ayas 5841.10%


2015 Results - 2015 Prediction
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide (2013 Rep. Order)

Mélanie Joly 2602646.80%
Maria Mourani ** 1668430.00%
Nicolas Bourdon 734613.20%
Wiliam Moughrabi 40517.30%
Gilles Mercier 11752.10%
Catherine Gascon-David 2850.50%


2011 Results (redistributed)

41668.57%
1455029.94%
1512731.13%
1376728.33%
7081.46%
Other 2840.58%


Component Riding(s) (2003 Representation Order)


   Ahuntsic
   (78.18% of voters in current riding)
   2011/2008/2004 Predictions
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide


   Saint-Laurent-Cartierville
   (21.82% of voters in current riding)
   2011/2008/2004 Predictions
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide


15/08/21 A.S.
99.225.52.35
Incredible to think that this is the successor to one of the 4 Bloc seats remaining in 2011--in its present configuration, it'd be a problematic pickup even if the Bloc were approaching its 50-seatish upper threshold.
09/05/21 J.F. Breton
38.23.227.9
On dira ce qu'on veut de Mélanie Joly, elle a démontré qu'il était possible de faire toujours mieux. Son départ hésitant n'est plus qu'un vague souvenir. Elle est maintenant beaucoup plus solide et est devenue une habile politique. Réélection facile.



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