Election Prediction Project

2021 Federal Election ~ Élections fédérales

Prediction Changed
2021-06-09 23:54:50

Constituency Profile


Bragdon, Richard

LaForest, Steven J

Martin, Anthony

Miller, Meriet Gray

Robinson, Cully

Waggoner, Daniel Joseph


Richard Bragdon

Population (2016):
Population (2011):

Private dwellings:
Dwellings occupied by usual residents:

Land area
Population Density



14568.89 km²

2019 Results - 2019 Prediction

Richard Bragdon 1922950.30%
Kelsey MacDonald 963125.20%
Rowan P. Miller 539814.10%
Megan Aiken 30077.90%
Dominic Guay 9362.50%

2015 Results - 2015 Prediction
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide (2013 Rep. Order)

TJ Harvey 1790946.60%
Richard Bragdon 1422537.00%
Robert Kitchen 433411.30%
Terry Wishart 19595.10%

2011 Results (redistributed)

Other 70.02%

Component Riding(s) (2003 Representation Order)

   (96.1% of voters in current riding)
   2011/2008/2004 Predictions
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide

   (3.9% of voters in current riding)
   2011/2008/2004 Predictions
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide

31/08/21 A Local
A Liberal candidate has been selected, apparently, but not living in the riding and nobody has heard of him. What is that party doing? Incumbent Conservative Richard Bragdon holds many unpopular views and wouldn't necessarily get it if there was a reasonable opponent. Green and NDP have nominated weak candidates this time, unfortunately.
19/08/21 A.S.
The only Atlantic Canada CPC majority in '15 (though the fact that the '15-elected Lib incumbent elected to not run again helped matters). Aside from Grand Falls, the only non-Con polls were an exurban-Fredericton pair and the Tobique & Woodstock First Nations.
17/08/21 R.O.
A rural new Brunswick riding that has flipped between the liberals and conservatives in recent years. Richard Bragdon is a first term mp and likely to hold the riding.
06/06/21 J.F. Breton
Circonscription de tradition conservatrice du sud-ouest du Nouveau-Brunswick. Sera sans doute l'une des dernières à tomber en cas de raz-de-marée libéral.

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