Arseneault, René
	Beaulieu, Shawn
	Berube, Louis
	Blaevoet, Rebecca
	MacDonald, Elizabeth
	Mercier, Nancy
Incumbent:
	René Arseneault

References:

Population (2016): Population (2011): Private dwellings: Dwellings occupied by usual residents: Land area Population Density			60378 62540 29362 27037 11700.98 km² 5.20/km²
2019 Results - 2019 Prediction
	René Arseneault **	17331	50.30%
	Nelson Fox	9801	28.40%
	Louis Bérubé	5125	14.90%
	Chad Betteridge	2212	6.40%
2015 Results - 2015 Prediction    Reference - Pundits’ Guide (2013 Rep. Order)
	René Arseneault	20778	55.70%
	Rosaire L'Italien	9670	25.90%
	Bernard Valcourt **	6151	16.50%
	Françoise Aubin	707	1.90%
2011 Results (redistributed)
		14541	40.48%
		6949	19.34%
		12497	34.79%
		645	1.80%
Other		1290	3.59%
Component Riding(s) (2003 Representation Order)
Madawaska-Restigouche    (97.71% of voters in current riding)    2011/2008/2004 Predictions    Reference - Pundits’ Guide
Miramichi    (2.29% of voters in current riding)    2011/2008/2004 Predictions    Reference - Pundits’ Guide

	19/08/21	A.S. 99.225.52.35
A repeat Liberal majority in '19 after '15, while the Cons recovered 2nd place status after Bernard Valcourt's earlier catastrophic incumbent performance--and that was still a pretty distant 2nd, even if they swept all but one poll along the Saint John River from Riviere-Verte southward. As always, the notoriously electorally-contrarian Saint-Quentin settlement is to be monitored--in '15, it went NDP, in '19, it went...Green.
	30/05/21	J.F. Breton 38.23.227.9
Bastion libéral en terre acadienne, peu de risque pour le candidat sortant.