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Beauséjour
2021 Federal Election ~ Élections fédérales


Prediction Changed
2021-06-03 11:18:28
 



Constituency Profile

Candidates:



Girouard, Stella Anna

Godfrey, Evelyne

LeBlanc, Dominic

Minor, Jack

Mitchell, Shelly

Sauriol Chiasson, Isabelle


Incumbent:

Dominic LeBlanc

References:
Population (2016):
Population (2011):

Private dwellings:
Dwellings occupied by usual residents:

Land area
Population Density

82292
80416

40844
34287

3995.89 km²
20.60/km²


2019 Results - 2019 Prediction

Dominic LeBlanc ** 2494846.50%
Laura Reinsborough 1430526.60%
Vincent Cormier 943817.60%
Jean-Marc Bélanger 39407.30%
Nancy Mercier 10542.00%


2015 Results - 2015 Prediction
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide (2013 Rep. Order)

Dominic LeBlanc ** 3653469.00%
Hélène Boudreau 800915.10%
Ann Bastarache 601711.40%
Kevin King 23764.50%


2011 Results (redistributed)

1442731.72%
1065423.42%
1850940.69%
18974.17%


Component Riding(s) (2003 Representation Order)


   Beauséjour
   (88.74% of voters in current riding)
   2011/2008/2004 Predictions
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide


   Moncton-Riverview-Dieppe
   (11.26% of voters in current riding)
   2011/2008/2004 Predictions
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide


19/08/21 A.S.
99.225.52.35
LeBlanc's '19 run was dogged by health problems and unexpectedly stiff challenges, most of all by the Greens (who held a pair of provincial seats within this territory--and the polling results reflect the fact), but even the Cons managed a flurry of polls on Moncton's fringe and out Cape Tormentine way. Doubt that the challenges will be so stiff now--and it was only good for reducing LeBlanc's margin to 20 points, anyway.
17/08/21 R.O.
24.146.13.237
Dominic Leblanc will likely hold this riding as he’s been mp since 2000 . difficult to predict what the greens do here as they did very well in 2019 but lost only NB mp a few months back.
30/05/21 J.F. Breton
38.23.227.9
Bastion libéral que Dominique LeBlanc se représente ou pas. Très peu de risque de l'échapper.



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