Election Prediction Project

2021 Federal Election ~ Élections fédérales

Prediction Changed
2021-07-13 21:30:06

Constituency Profile


Blois, Kody

Ford, Steven

Parent, Mark

Richardson, Sheila G.

Schneider, Stephen


Kody Blois

Population (2016):
Population (2011):

Private dwellings:
Dwellings occupied by usual residents:

Land area
Population Density



4124.46 km²

2019 Results - 2019 Prediction

Kody Blois 2080643.30%
Martha MacQuarrie 1190524.80%
Stephen Schneider 825417.20%
Brogan Anderson 602912.60%
Matthew Southall 7861.60%
Nicholas Tan 1380.30%
Stacey Dodge 1180.20%

2015 Results - 2015 Prediction
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide (2013 Rep. Order)

Scott Brison ** 3302670.70%
David Morse 867718.60%
Hugh Curry 29986.40%
Will Cooper 15693.40%
Megan Brown-Hodges 1840.40%
Edd Twohig 1320.30%
Clifford James Williams 1000.20%

2011 Results (redistributed)


Component Riding(s) (2003 Representation Order)

   (100% of voters in current riding)
   2011/2008/2004 Predictions
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide

04/09/21 Murphy
I believe Kody Blois is a popular on-the-ground MP who should be able to hold off any Conservative challenge, unless the Liberal vote completely collapses in the next two weeks.
03/09/21 na
Liberals and PCs split the ridings in the Valley that are part of this riding in the provincial election. The area is definitely more small c conservative and less CPC brand conservative favorable. It will probably be closer than 2019, but still see as likely Liberal hold.
22/08/21 Nick M.
I disagree with calling so many of these Atlantic ridings safe Liberal victories so eaely in the campaign. Voters in the Atlantic Canada can swing like the 905, but have a loyalty to the incumbent MP.
I beleive Kings Hants was a strong Conservative seat for many years until Scott Brison crossed the floor. This is a swing riding unless the current MP has become quite popular locally.
19/08/21 A.S.
Wow, a 27-point collapse in the Liberal vote! If they repeat that, they'll only be 16% next time! But seriously, that was just a post-Brison coming back down to earth after a bout of uncommon giddiness. And the runner-up Cons only gained six points of that share and remained under 1/4 of the vote--that is, if one deletes '15 from the equation *it* would be a low point for the party around these parts (aside from the 1993 PC/Reform/Nowlan split).
12/07/21 Branden
Even without the popular incumbent Scott Brison to carry the riding for the Liberals (like 2011), they managed to win by nearly 20% in 2019. With the Liberals polling similarly or better this time around, the Liberals should be able to carry this riding without too much difficulty.
11/07/21 Lolitha
Won by a healthy margin in 2019, with Cons showing little life in Atlantic Canada this should be an easy Liberal hold.

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