Election Prediction Project

2021 Federal Election ~ Élections fédérales

Prediction Changed
2021-06-03 11:18:07

Constituency Profile


Keenan, Anna

Landry, Christopher

MacDonald, Heath

Neill, Michelle

Sanderson, Jody


Wayne Easter

Population (2016):
Population (2011):

Private dwellings:
Dwellings occupied by usual residents:

Land area
Population Density



1607.46 km²

2019 Results - 2019 Prediction

Wayne Easter ** 953341.40%
Anna Keenan 610326.50%
Stephen Stewart 590825.60%
Craig Nash 14956.50%

2015 Results - 2015 Prediction
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide (2013 Rep. Order)

Wayne Easter ** 1395062.10%
Stephen Stewart 394717.60%
Leah-Jane Hayward 250911.20%
Lynne Lund 20669.20%

2011 Results (redistributed)


Component Riding(s) (2003 Representation Order)

   (100% of voters in current riding)
   2011/2008/2004 Predictions
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide

19/08/21 A.S.
And so, we enter the post-Wayne Easter era of likely status quo. Being the provincial leader's home riding, it turned in the highest Green share and narrowest Green-Lib margin last cycle; and were the federal party not in disarray, they'd probably covet the open-seat opportunity (and they *are* re-running their '19 candidate).
15/08/21 R.O.
Wayne Easter isn’t running this year ending a very long political career . riding could stay liberal as they still found a current PEI mla as a candidate but if there is a race in any PEI riding this year will likely be this one. Anna Keenan is back as the green candidate after a strong run in 2019 and Jody Sanderson was nominated for cpc a while back.
14/08/21 Lolitha
Mainstreet Riding Poll:
36.5% Liberal, 25.3% Conservative, 12.1% Green. 19% undecided.
30/05/21 J.F. Breton
L'خle-du-Prince-ةdouard est un bastion libéral. Même les Verts, sur une lancée au provincial en 2019, n'ont pu influer sérieusement sur le résultat au fédéral. Avec l'avance du PLC dans les sondages à l'heure actuelle, victoire des Libéraux.

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