Election Prediction Project

2021 Federal Election ~ Élections fédérales

Prediction Changed
2021-06-03 11:17:56

Constituency Profile


Andrade, Margaret

Casey, Sean

Currie, Doug

Lanthier, Darcie

McPhee, Scott


Sean Casey

Population (2016):
Population (2011):

Private dwellings:
Dwellings occupied by usual residents:

Land area
Population Density



44.34 km²

2019 Results - 2019 Prediction

Sean Casey ** 881244.30%
Darcie Lanthier 464823.30%
Robert A. Campbell 404020.30%
Joe Byrne 223811.20%
Fred MacLeod 1720.90%

2015 Results - 2015 Prediction
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide (2013 Rep. Order)

Sean Casey ** 1191056.30%
Joe Byrne 489723.10%
Ron MacMillan 313614.80%
Becka Viau 12225.80%

2011 Results (redistributed)

Other 870.47%

Component Riding(s) (2003 Representation Order)

   (100% of voters in current riding)
   2011/2008/2004 Predictions
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide

23/08/21 R.O.
This has been a long time liberal riding going back to the late 80’s , Sean Casey was first elected in 2011 a year the liberals won very few seats. But the rise of the green party in PEI and high profile conservative candidate make for an interesting race here. Darcie Lanthier is back for the green party after a strong run in 2019. Doug Currie was previously an mla for the provincial liberals for Charlottetown but now running for federal conservatives.
19/08/21 A.S.
It was a given that this'd be targeted by the Greens last cycle--but they came more than 20 points short; and given where *that* party is at now...well I guess a former Liberal MLA running for the Conservatives proxies for that, now. Not to the point of contending for victory, though.
30/05/21 J.F. Breton
L'خle-du-Prince-ةdouard est un bastion libéral. Même les Verts, sur une lancée au provincial en 2019, n'ont pu influer sérieusement sur le résultat au fédéral. Avec l'avance du PLC dans les sondages à l'heure actuelle, victoire des Libéraux.

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