Deng, Alain
	McQuillan, Sean
	Sajjan, Harjit S.
	Young, Wai
	Zaichkowsky, Judy
Incumbent:
	Harjit S. Sajjan

References:

Population (2016): Population (2011): Private dwellings: Dwellings occupied by usual residents: Land area Population Density			102927 100966 38857 34993 20.70 km² 4973.4/km²
2015 Results - 2015 Prediction    Reference - Pundits’ Guide (2013 Rep. Order)
	Harjit S. Sajjan	21773	48.80%
	Wai Young **	15115	33.90%
	Amandeep Nijjar	6230	14.00%
	Elain Ng	1149	2.60%
	Charles Boylan	178	0.40%
	Raj Gupta	166	0.40%
2011 Results (redistributed)
		15571	42.43%
		7733	21.07%
		12390	33.76%
		810	2.21%
Other		202	0.55%
Component Riding(s) (2003 Representation Order)
Vancouver South    (95.6% of voters in current riding)    2011/2008/2004 Predictions    Reference - Pundits’ Guide
Vancouver Kingsway    (4.4% of voters in current riding)    2011/2008/2004 Predictions    Reference - Pundits’ Guide

	14/10/19	Nick M. 68.149.60.245
All comes down to Sajjan‘s personal popularity. This riding can’t be won on the Liberal name. If the Liberals didn’t have incumbency, I’d say it’s edge goes to CPC.
	07/10/19	R.O. 24.146.17.200
Little has been mentioned on the rematch between Harjit Sajjan and Wai Young. The liberal incumbent is a high profile cabinet minister in Ottawa. His opponent Wai Young was briefly mp for this riding from 2011-2015 after a surprise victory in 2011. One has to wonder about the green vote in many of these ridings , they only got 2% in 2015 but surely do better this year.
	17/09/19	A.S. 99.225.32.21
If the swing was more shallow here than in other Greater Vancouver ridings in 2015, it was due to (a) the Cons holding more ground with the Chinese-Canadian populace than with other demos (also reflected in the Richmond Centre hold), and (b) there actually having been a Liberal incumbent to dislodge in 2011, which led to a Conservative incumbent to dislodge in 2015. (In fact, Vancouver South was 2011's only CPC defeat of a LPC incumbent in BC.) And when it comes to 2019's rematch, Wai Young's chances aren't exactly enhanced by her odd Coalition Vancouver mayoral run last year...
	19/04/19	Richmondite 70.79.252.121
There is no question that Harjit Sajjan is popular in the area and has a cabinet profile that will give him a good advantage over the Conservatives. However I wouldn't consider this riding as safe Liberal, as this riding, along with its provincial counterpart of Vancouver-Fraserview, have gained a reputation for being the typical bellwether riding. Keep in mind that the Liberals won this in 2015 with a mild NDP and Conservative swing that resulted in a 15% boost to the Liberals. That is not the 20+% red tide that other Metro Vancouver ridings experienced in 2015. With the NDP vote nearly tapped out in 2015, the Liberals may have already exhausted the progressive left-wing vote. Given the recent national trend of declining Liberal support, it would bean uphill to hold its current vote share from 2015, let alone scooping more votes from the Tory voter base in this bellwether riding. At this point, a fair assessment would be TCTC.
	26/03/19	Laurence Putnam 50.68.187.24
I agree with Lunn on this one; best shot in town for the Tories, but one they most likely won't hit on this time. High profile cab min is safe for now.
	16/03/19	Sam 86.156.206.227
A bellwether; if the Conservatives win a majority or close to it, they will have almost certainly won this. Harjit Sajjan has a high profile but that may not be enough on a good night. There's still a good chance of this going Liberal, however.
	23/02/19	M. Lunn 174.7.100.252
If the Tories were to win a riding in Vancouver proper, it would be this one, but at this point I think they would need a much bigger lead in the polls to be competitive here so for now calling it for the Grits. If the Tories open a sizeable lead, I may change my prediction.