Crozier, Stephen
	Findlay, Kerry-Lynne
	Hobby, Beverly Pixie
	Hogg, Gordie
	Poulin, Joel
Incumbent:
	Gordie Hogg

References:

Population (2016): Population (2011): Private dwellings: Dwellings occupied by usual residents: Land area Population Density			104051 94678 44781 41917 144.47 km² 720.2/km²
2015 Results - 2015 Prediction    Reference - Pundits’ Guide (2013 Rep. Order)
	Dianne Lynn Watts	24934	44.00%
	Judy Higginbotham	23495	41.50%
	Pixie Hobby	5895	10.40%
	Larry Colero	1938	3.40%
	Bonnie Hu	261	0.50%
	Brian Marlatt	108	0.20%
2011 Results (redistributed)
		23890	52.88%
		8671	19.19%
		8625	19.09%
		2648	5.86%
Other		1343	2.97%
Component Riding(s) (2003 Representation Order)
South Surrey-White Rock-Cloverdale    (95.59% of voters in current riding)    2011/2008/2004 Predictions    Reference - Pundits’ Guide
Newton-North Delta    (3.64% of voters in current riding)    2011/2008/2004 Predictions    Reference - Pundits’ Guide
Fleetwood-Port Kells    (0.77% of voters in current riding)    2011/2008/2004 Predictions    Reference - Pundits’ Guide

	05/10/19	Jack c 192.0.220.219
Kerry-Lynne Findlay is one of those candidates who seems to have the stench of loserdom hanging over them. Not withstanding her election in 2012 I just can’t see her beating Gordon Hogg who is the only person who could win this for the liberals.
	22/09/19	R.O. 24.146.17.200
This was a surprise liberal pick up in a by election. If any liberal other than Gordon Hogg had won that by election , I’d say for sure the seat was going to return to the conservatives this year. Just not sure how much staying power he has in this riding. The conservatives do have a former mp running for them Kerry Lynne Findlay, she had also been the candidate in the by election.
	18/09/19	A.S. 99.225.32.21
It usually *did* go Conservative in federal races; but that’s disregarding how 2015 changed the electoral climate in Greater Vancouver--and if anything, the 2015 general was more skewed by a ‘very well known candidate’ than the subsequent byelection; White Rock’s always been latently fertile ground for the Liberals, and were it not for Dianne Watts this seat would probably have gone the way of Findlay’s former constituency of Delta. With that in mind, the present race is more a test of whether 2015 was a one-off for the Libs at large in Greater Vancouver, than of whether the byelection was a one-off for Gordie Hogg. (Indeed, he probably won by a *narrower* margin than would have been the case in a Watts-less 2015.)
	16/03/19	Laurence Putnam 50.68.187.24
Cautiously calling it for the Conservatives, all else being equal, it really should go Tory. It usually does in federal races and only went Liberal in a by-election with a very well known candidate whilst constituents were a little disgruntled at their Conservative incumbent's sudden resignation for political opportunism. Gordie Hogg has one thing in his corner, besides his own hard-earned local name recognition: Kerry-Lynne Findlay's uncanny ability to snatch defeat from the jaws of victory. This is the third riding she's run in since 2000, losing 3/4 contests; despite being the favoured candidate in at least three of those same races, if not all four.
	08/03/19	Sam 86.28.79.130
Gordie Hogg made this Liberal and with a rematch between him and Kerry-Lynne Findlay he could easily do it again, but this is now a general election race and with higher turnout and the government at stake the Conservatives also have a strong chance.