Bell, Justine
	Jadavji, Azmairnin
	Orr, George
	Saxton, Andrew
	Wilkinson, Jonathan
Incumbent:
	Jonathan Wilkinson

References:

Population (2016): Population (2011): Private dwellings: Dwellings occupied by usual residents: Land area Population Density			115344 109639 50141 47266 335.16 km² 344.1/km²
2015 Results - 2015 Prediction    Reference - Pundits’ Guide (2013 Rep. Order)
	Jonathan Wilkinson	36458	56.70%
	Andrew Saxton **	17301	26.90%
	Claire Martin	5350	8.30%
	Carleen Thomas	5015	7.80%
	Ismet Yetisen	136	0.20%
	Payam Azad	94	0.10%
2011 Results (redistributed)
		23923	47.56%
		8481	16.86%
		14948	29.72%
		2631	5.23%
Other		323	0.64%
Component Riding(s) (2003 Representation Order)
North Vancouver    (93.22% of voters in current riding)    2011/2008/2004 Predictions    Reference - Pundits’ Guide
West Vancouver-Sunshine Coast-Sea to Sky Country    (6.78% of voters in current riding)    2011/2008/2004 Predictions    Reference - Pundits’ Guide

	21/10/19	Tony Ducey 24.137.73.188
The federal fisheries minister will hold this seat.
	18/09/19	A.S. 99.225.32.21
North Van has always epitomized Lib-over-Lab dynamics in BC--federally especially, but even provincially, through Gordon Gibson's spot of red in 1975 and continued strategic ‘investment’ all the way to the 1991 BCLib breakthrough. So once Justinmania hit, it hit here in a landslide--and the landslide's such that the Saxton-Wilkinson rematch is presently looking rather anticlimactic. (Saxton only won two polls in '15, both in upper Capilano reaches.) Speaking of anticlimactic, there's also the matter of CBC weather reporter Claire Martin making a serious Green bid in '15--all that was good for was surpassing the NDP share, but way back in single digits. (Let that be a forewarning for the overly Green-bullish out there--maybe even in 2019.)
	12/04/19	Laurence Putnam 50.68.187.24
It was just announced that former MP Andrew Saxton is seeking the Conservative nomination to re-take his old seat. Saxton is probably the strongest contender to mount a serious challenge to Wilkinson, but I fear that Wilkinson is too well ensconced here at the moment, and that there is enough NDP support from 2015, while shallow here, to shore up some of the votes he will lose. The Liberals will not repeat their above 50% number here, in fact it could turn out to be pretty close, however I think for this moment Wilkinson and the machine behind him are still ahead of the pack. If it were to appear that the Conservatives are headed into even minority territory this could certainly yet tip.
	28/02/19	Sam 86.28.79.130
Although this riding has gone Conservative in the past such are the demographics that this riding should stay Liberal. We saw this play out last time when Jonathan Wilkinson, who is now cabinet minister for a file pertinent to the interests of this region, won by a significant margin. It's hard to see the Conservatives gaining enough ground to overturn the margin, as this is nowhere near one of their top targets in British Columbia.
	23/02/19	M. Lunn 174.7.100.252
Looking at the size of the margin last time around and considering the politics of this riding I suspect this will stay Liberal. It may go Tory down the road but that is a few elections away. This is more your traditional fiscal conservative type and although there may some wariness in Trudeau's leftward trajectory, right wing populism is the anathema here. Also with growth in rentals, this is not as fiscally conservative as it was 20 years ago.