Beauchamp, Tyler
	Brochu, Ronald
	Chauvet, Ernest
	Desforges, Guy
	Lloyd, Dane
	Romyn, Cass
Incumbent:
	Dane Lloyd

References:

Population (2016): Population (2011): Private dwellings: Dwellings occupied by usual residents: Land area Population Density			120784 105733 46387 43471 3982.27 km² 30.3/km²
2015 Results - 2015 Prediction    Reference - Pundits’ Guide (2013 Rep. Order)
	Rona Ambrose **	43220	70.20%
	Travis Dueck	9586	15.60%
	Guy Desforges	6166	10.00%
	Brendon Greene	1875	3.00%
	Ernest Chauvet	690	1.10%
2011 Results (redistributed)
		33789	77.49%
		5657	12.97%
		2385	5.47%
		1742	3.99%
Other		35	0.08%
Component Riding(s) (2003 Representation Order)
Edmonton-Spruce Grove    (60.22% of voters in current riding)    2011/2008/2004 Predictions    Reference - Pundits’ Guide
Westlock-St. Paul    (34.83% of voters in current riding)    2011/2008/2004 Predictions    Reference - Pundits’ Guide
Yellowhead    (4.95% of voters in current riding)    2011/2008/2004 Predictions    Reference - Pundits’ Guide

	16/09/19	Stevo 165.225.76.154
If Scheer crash lands this election, Rona Ambrose will certainly be a frontrunner to replace him. This riding may well be the home of a future Prime Minister.
	15/09/19	A.S. 99.225.32.21
Actually, there *has* been an illustrious recent Liberal history here, with onetime provincial party leader Nick Taylor calling Westlock-Sturgeon as his home base (and even 2006's 15% seemed an overperforming ghost of that by rural-Alberta standards). Of course, that was all before party support sorted itself much more bluntly along rural-urban lines (even if Notleymania momentarily disrupted that pattern). I still see the final result being closer to Rona's 70% than Dane Lloyd's 77%; if only because the riding isn't getting any less urban (and *maybe* a token PPC factor, though the byelection had CHP as a substitute)
	12/09/19	R.O. 24.146.17.200
Near Edmonton but was an easy cpc win in the by election a couple years ago , should stay cpc .
	13/06/19	Laurence Putnam 96.53.49.70
When Trudeaumania 2.0 swept the country, the Liberal candidate here placed second, managing a full 15% of the vote, which was their best result since 2006 (under the former, less favourable boundaries). Let's just say that I feel confident in my prediction.
	06/03/19	Sam 86.28.79.130
The by-election result indicates the strength of the Conservative vote here, and there is no reason why this won't hold up.
	23/02/19	M. Lunn 174.7.100.252
Tories got 77% here in the by-election so even if things tighten a bit (which I am not sure they will) they should easily win this one.