Election Prediction Project

Calgary Skyview
2019 Federal Election ~ Élections fédérales

Prediction Changed
2019-10-22 02:03:21

Constituency Profile


Alexander, Joseph

Blanchard, Daniel

Dawar, Harpreet Singh

Dhillon, Harry

Gill, Gurinder Singh

Knutson, Signe

Naidoo, Nirmala

Sahota, Jag


Darshan Singh Kang

Population (2016):
Population (2011):

Private dwellings:
Dwellings occupied by usual residents:

Land area
Population Density



122.56 km²

2015 Results - 2015 Prediction
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide (2013 Rep. Order)

Darshan Singh Kang 2064445.90%
Devinder Shory ** 1788539.80%
Sahajvir Singh 36058.00%
Najeeb Butt 9572.10%
Ed Reddy 8461.90%
Stephen Garvey 7861.70%
Joseph Young 1820.40%
Daniel Blanchard 880.20%

2011 Results (redistributed)

Other 1290.44%

Component Riding(s) (2003 Representation Order)

   Calgary Northeast
   (99.97% of voters in current riding)
   2011/2008/2004 Predictions
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide

   Wild Rose
   (0.03% of voters in current riding)
   2011/2008/2004 Predictions
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide

21/10/19 Tony Ducey
If the Liberals win any riding here tomorrow it'll be this 1. Still I think the CPC sweep Alberta including here.
Progressive vote so badly split in this neighborhood that the conservatives have a good chance of winning, but i would change it to : Too close. The community is very motivated this time around. Lots of door knocking from the NDP and Liberals, none from Cons. Bad press for cons in this riding as the candidate was the only one to not show up for the local debate.
This candidate also voted NDP in the last provincial election with 52% of the vote and 56% turnout.
22/09/19 R.O.
Would seem doubtful the liberals win this riding a second time , especially without an incumbent or star candidate. Any suburban Calgary seat is a tough one for the liberals this year . this riding had always been conservative in the past, although demographics have changed over the years.
22/09/19 Eddie E
This will probably be the closest riding in Calgary, which means the Cons will ‘only’ win here by 15-20%, instead of by 30-50% as in most of the rest of the city. No Calgary riding will be close this time. This and Calgary Centre are both easy Con pick-ups.
16/09/19 A.S.
The Kang controversy may make Skyview voters wish they voted for Kodos instead; but it is a bit of a conundrum as to what comes next--not only Kang's 2015 victory, but 2011's surprising Liberal performance vs the Iggy disaster, suggests this is something like the Calgarian version of Sukh Dhaliwal's Surrey-Newton. That is, it *could* conceivably stay Liberal. But then, given the demographics behind the Liberal strength and the ‘Alberta's answer to Brampton’ element, there's also the matter of who's leading the federal NDP, and what meaning *that* might hold hereabouts, especially as we're now dealing with an open seat. Btw/that and the provincial McCall hold (and the near-hold of Falconridge as well), could we even be looking at a three-way race? Hmm...
22/04/19 Sam
Probably a Conservative gain, but on a good night this would be the last riding in Calgary left for the Liberals. The NDP vote provincially correlates with areas of Conservative weakness, and they unexpectedly won McCall. That being said, the CPC often outperform the provincial equivalent, so I suspect this will be Conservative. The loss of Darshan Kang will also hurt them here.
19/03/19 seasaw
Doesn't matter who carries the Liberal banner, their chances of winning in Calgary or anywhere in this province is slim to none. The economy in Alberta, especially Calgary hasn't been good, so it's safe to say fat chance any Liberal would get in
26/02/19 Craig
If Darshan Kang can get back into the Liberals, he should be re-elected as he is still reasonably popular in this ethnically very diverse riding (with a lot of South Asians...Alberta's answer to Brampton?).
However, if he runs as an independent, the vote split should easily hand this seat back to the Conservatives. A generic Liberal candidate might not win here so easily, but would definitely do a lot better than most other Liberals in Alberta and would have a fighting chance. Need to clarify things for now.

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