Election Prediction Project

Calgary Signal Hill
2019 Federal Election ~ Élections fédérales

Prediction Changed
2019-10-22 02:03:19

Constituency Profile


Ahmed, Khalis

Alatrash, Ghada

Bassett, Christina

Dirk, Garry

Liepert, Ron

Reid, Marco

Squire, Gord


Ron Liepert

Population (2016):
Population (2011):

Private dwellings:
Dwellings occupied by usual residents:

Land area
Population Density



65.91 km²

2015 Results - 2015 Prediction
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide (2013 Rep. Order)

Ron Liepert 3785860.60%
Kerry Cundal 1910830.60%
Khalis Ahmed 31285.00%
Taryn Knorren 15862.50%
Tim Moen 6791.10%
Jesse Rau 1600.30%

2011 Results (redistributed)

Other 1200.27%

Component Riding(s) (2003 Representation Order)

   Calgary West
   (79.43% of voters in current riding)
   2011/2008/2004 Predictions
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide

   Calgary Centre
   (20.57% of voters in current riding)
   2011/2008/2004 Predictions
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide

16/09/19 A.S.
Liepert's critical race had been to wrest the CPC nomination from Rob Anders; all that followed was a sleepwalk. Though among Calgary's 2015 CPC-majority ridings, Signal Hill was the most curiously ‘poll-efficient’ for the Libs--perhaps because the eastern parts and the Montgomery/Bowness pocket operated more like Centre/Confederation carryovers, while the counterbalancing outer polls are more quasi-exurban, like they really want to be part of Rocky View County more than Calgary. (Which may be why among provincial ridings, Calgary West had the best PC share in 2015 and the best UCP share in 2019.)
19/05/19 Sam
This is one of the average Conservative ridings in Calgary. They'll hold it with Ron Liepert.
24/02/19 JW
The CPC won 60%+ last time during a downswing election. Not going to loose this seat this time.

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