Election Prediction Project

Calgary Heritage
2019 Federal Election ~ Élections fédérales

Prediction Changed
2019-10-22 02:03:07

Constituency Profile


Benzen, Bob

Forsyth, Scott

Heather, Larry R.

Heffernan, Holly

Hoeppner, Stephanie

Mills, Hunter

Tulick, Allie


Bob Benzen

Population (2016):
Population (2011):

Private dwellings:
Dwellings occupied by usual residents:

Land area
Population Density



66.93 km²

2015 Results - 2015 Prediction
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide (2013 Rep. Order)

Stephen J. Harper ** 3726363.80%
Brendan Miles 1517226.00%
Matt Masters Burgener 42557.30%
Kelly Christie 12462.10%
Steven Paolasini 2460.40%
Larry R. Heather 1140.20%
Korry Zepik 730.10%
Nicolas Duchastel de Montrouge 610.10%

2011 Results (redistributed)

Other 2560.55%

Component Riding(s) (2003 Representation Order)

   Calgary Southwest
   (98.84% of voters in current riding)
   2011/2008/2004 Predictions
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide

   Calgary Southeast
   (1.16% of voters in current riding)
   2011/2008/2004 Predictions
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide

21/10/19 Tony Ducey
Harper's old riding, I think the CPC will win here.
16/09/19 A.S.
The scale of the 2015 Justinquake that befell Harper was such that he actually lost three polls in the far NW of the riding, hard by the Chinook Centre. Yes, that's what's ‘humiliation’ around these parts--the Cons losing polls, not losing the whole shebang. (In fact, one of those polls was also lost in the subsequent byelection--but, that was with 13 Lib to 11 Con out of 28 votes cast. Like, big deal, really.)
12/09/19 R.O.
Cpc easily held this riding in a by election despite not having former PM Harper on the ballot , likely to stay conservative
21/03/19 Sam
This riding votes in the way one would expect Stephen Harper's old riding to vote. Bob Benzen held up that vote and will do so again.
19/02/19 JW
The CPC won 60%+ last time during a downswing election. Not going to loose this seat this time.

Navigate to Canada 2019 Home | Provincial/Regional Index | Submission

Canada Federal Election - 2019 - Élections fédérales canadiennes
Election Prediction Project - www.electionprediction.com
© Election Prediction Project, 1999-2019 - Email Webmaster