Craik, Chey
	Lukiwski, Tom
	Melanson, Cecilia
	Regent, Talon
	Walker, Gillian
Incumbent:
	Tom Lukiwski

References:

Population (2016): Population (2011): Private dwellings: Dwellings occupied by usual residents: Land area Population Density			79733 76106 39278 32792 32333.62 km² 2.5/km²
2015 Results - 2015 Prediction    Reference - Pundits’ Guide (2013 Rep. Order)
	Tom Lukiwski **	23273	55.50%
	Dustan Hlady	9978	23.80%
	Perry Juttla	7545	18.00%
	Shawn Setyo	961	2.30%
	Robert Thomas	208	0.50%
2011 Results (redistributed)
		22963	60.96%
		12256	32.54%
		1427	3.79%
		1020	2.71%
Other		9	0.02%
Component Riding(s) (2003 Representation Order)
Palliser    (50.75% of voters in current riding)    2011/2008/2004 Predictions    Reference - Pundits’ Guide
Blackstrap    (24.27% of voters in current riding)    2011/2008/2004 Predictions    Reference - Pundits’ Guide
Regina-Lumsden-Lake Centre    (22.3% of voters in current riding)    2011/2008/2004 Predictions    Reference - Pundits’ Guide
Saskatoon-Humboldt    (1.2% of voters in current riding)    2011/2008/2004 Predictions    Reference - Pundits’ Guide
Souris-Moose Mountain    (1.15% of voters in current riding)    2011/2008/2004 Predictions    Reference - Pundits’ Guide
Wascana    (0.33% of voters in current riding)    2011/2008/2004 Predictions    Reference - Pundits’ Guide

	03/09/19	A.S. 99.225.32.21
Re the larger plurality in 2015: let's account for how the former riding of Palliser was an NDP supertarget in 2011 (it also included a good deal of present-day Regina-Lewvan), while MJLCL is primarily rural except for Moose Jaw and hence wasn't so critical a target. The way polling's going, it wouldn't be too surprising to see Lib & NDP swap places--and frankly, it's incredible how even Moose Jaw was/would've been no barrier to 55/60% for the Cons these past two elections. Under a Scheer leadership, how much higher can they go...
	19/07/19	Laurence Putnam 96.53.49.70
Interesting that given the Liberal/NDP split in 2015 the incumbent actually grew his plurality from 10,000 to 13,000+ votes over his nearest competitor, despite his shedding some of his popular vote percentage. Whoever places second this time will also be likely 10,000+ votes behind.
	08/04/19	Sam 86.188.99.248
This was one of the ridings which became hugely rural after the redistribution, making a likely win for Tom Lukiwski certain.
	23/02/19	M. Lunn 174.7.100.252
Rural Saskatchewan has at both provincial and federal level become solidly conservative over the last 15 years so don't see that changing.