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References:
Population (2016): Population (2011):Private dwellings: Dwellings occupied by usual residents: Land area Population Density |
102275 10264633060 32039 53.31 km² 1918.6/km² |
2015 Results - 2015 Prediction
Reference - Pundits’ Guide (2013 Rep. Order)
|
| Gary Anandasangaree |
29913 | 60.20% |
| Leslyn Lewis |
13587 | 27.40% |
| KM Shanthikumar |
5145 | 10.40% |
| Calvin Winter |
1010 | 2.00% |
2011 Results (redistributed)
|
| |
12867 | 31.59% |
| |
12621 | 30.99% |
| |
14156 | 34.76% |
| |
975 | 2.39% |
Other | |
112 | 0.27%% |
Component Riding(s) (2003 Representation Order)
|
Pickering-Scarborough East
(45.6% of voters in current riding)
2011/2008/2004 Predictions
Reference - Pundits’ Guide
|
Scarborough-Rouge River
(40.5% of voters in current riding)
2011/2008/2004 Predictions
Reference - Pundits’ Guide
|
Scarborough-Guildwood
(13.9% of voters in current riding)
2011/2008/2004 Predictions
Reference - Pundits’ Guide
|
2018 Provincial Results - 2018 Prediction
|
| Vijay Thanigasalam |
16224 | 38.61% |
| Felicia Samuel |
15261 | 36.32% |
| Sumi Shan |
8785 | 20.91% |
| Priyan De Silva |
1014 | 2.41% |
2014 Provincial Results (redistributed)
|
| |
18140 | 47.98% |
| |
9290 | 24.57% |
| |
9035 | 23.90% |
| |
856 | 2.26% |
Other | |
488 | 1.29%% |
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| 05/08/20 |
A.S. 99.225.32.21 |
Redistribution resulted in 5 out of 6 Scarborough ridings showing transposed 3-way 2011 figures going into 2015...and this was the biggest wild card, being a new riding and all. And Justinmania turned it into a rubber-stamp landslide. Keep in mind, too, that this was the riding where 2015's former Con candidate had to be replaced as a result of 'Peegate'. I suspect status quo will hold here. |
| 25/07/19 |
Laurence Putnam 96.53.49.70 |
Don't be fooled by the provincial result; it's far more telling that the Tories best result they could hope to achieve in a majority government year is 38%; and only at that because the Liberals totally collapsed. Those aren't the dynamics federally here, where closer to 30% has been more typical of the average Conservative result. This will be an uninspired but easy Liberal hold. |
| 19/05/19 |
Sam 86.139.26.229 |
This will stay Liberal, the margin was huge last time. A bit like Waterloo, Miss-Malton and Surrey-Newton, it's one of those diverse ridings that tend to go another way in Liberal collapses. I suspect they'll take a hit, but this is a riding they're counting on and that no other party will target. |
| 24/02/19 |
M. Lunn 174.7.100.252 |
Was a tight PC-NDP race provincially but that was with a Liberal meltdown. Much of the PC and NDP support here is quite soft and I suspect most of it will go Liberal federally. Even in 2011 this would have gone Liberal with the present boundaries. So if Trudeau had an approval rating of 20% maybe it would be up for grabs, but despite his drop in approval ratings, it is a long ways away from Wynne like approval ratings which is what the Liberals need to lose this. |
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