Chung, Sarah
	Hines, Gregory
	Ho, Alan
	Kao, Elvin
	Saroya, Bob
Incumbent:
	Bob Saroya

References:

Population (2016): Population (2011): Private dwellings: Dwellings occupied by usual residents: Land area Population Density			123318 104693 39948 38557 84.34 km² 1462.2/km²
2015 Results - 2015 Prediction    Reference - Pundits’ Guide (2013 Rep. Order)
	Bob Saroya	24605	49.40%
	Bang-Gu Jiang	21596	43.30%
	Colleen Zimmerman	2528	5.10%
	Elvin Kao	1110	2.20%
2011 Results (redistributed)
		18024	45.83%
		6500	16.53%
		13249	33.69%
		1182	3.01%
Other		376	0.96%
Component Riding(s) (2003 Representation Order)
Oak Ridges-Markham    (52.42% of voters in current riding)    2011/2008/2004 Predictions    Reference - Pundits’ Guide
Markham-Unionville    (47.58% of voters in current riding)    2011/2008/2004 Predictions    Reference - Pundits’ Guide
2018 Provincial Results - 2018 Prediction
	Billy Pang	29305	62.43%
	Amanda Yeung Collucci	8456	18.01%
	Sylvie David	7778	16.57%
	Deborah Moolman	996	2.12%
2014 Provincial Results (redistributed)
		15142	43.88%
		14082	40.81%
		3430	9.94%
		1311	3.80%
Other		546	1.58%

	20/10/19	Tony Ducey 24.137.73.188
A surprise CPC pickup in 2015, I think they keep the seat in 2019. Saroya's a minister in a Scheer government IMO.
	07/10/19	R.O. 24.146.17.200
This was a surprise cpc pick up in 2015, considering the liberals dominated in Toronto area that election. Since then Bob Saroya has increased his presence in Ottawa and held positions in the opposition shadow cabinet.
	22/09/19	The Jackal 99.236.206.117
Given the polling theses days and the results of both 2015 and 2018 I can safely call this a Conserative hold.
	12/09/19	PY 99.244.33.168
I wouldn't call this for the Conservatives yet as popular municipal councillor Alan Ho is running for the Liberals this time around and will be one to watch. A word of warning: the Chinese community (of which I'm a member) should not be treated as a bloc. I don't necessarily agree with everyone in my family on some of the pressing *external* issues of the day, but those won't be of the utmost importance at the ballot box and neither will the fallout from the SNC-Lavalin affair; in fact, the general response has been not unlike that of la Caisse de dépôt et placement du Québec (CDPQ) who said in July that the company has only itself to blame. This is pretty much just another riding in which the respective national campaigns for the Liberals and Conservatives will be key. That's it.
	08/08/20	A.S. 99.225.32.21
We're talking about the second best PC riding in last year's provincial election, and the site of this year's Ford Fest. But it *could* be worth monitoring whatever long term effect the development of Downtown Markham shall have; it's territory the Libs held in '15, and could ultimately wind up operating much as NYCC and MCC do as it densifys. (Momentarily countering that, though, is how continuing sprawl to the N works on the Cons' behalf. Cathedraltown, erstwhile home of the infamous cow-on-stilts, was the provincial PCs' best node last year.)
	06/04/19	Legolas 109.70.100.19
An easy CPC prediction for me here. Saroya took almost 50% of the vote in 2015 despite the party crashing in Toronto, and the provincial PC candidate received a victory margin which would look less out of place in Rural Alberta than suburban Toronto. The Chinese vote has really coalesced behind the CPC and PCs and this is the type of seat where you notice how fast it's changed compared to even as recently as 2008.
	02/04/19	The Hedonist 99.247.201.29
John McCallum's (Liberal) former riding, the beauty of a Chinese ambassador we had, helped put this further in the blue column with his handling of the Huawei affair, which has soured Chinese-Canadian relations. Unfortunately for him and his party, this riding is heavily Chinese and they have been voting increasingly more right ever since Harper won his majorities in the 00s with GTA strength. With the Cons polling at a solid 35+ nationally right now and even stronger in Ontario, and with the Carbon tax just about to take effect, McCallum's work as Ambassador.... we can lock this up as a Blue hold.
	16/03/19	Sam 86.156.206.227
The Conservatives nearly won 50% here last time, and to lose this time they would have to shed a fair few votes, which is unlikely in a 905, heavily Chinese riding. The Liberals should have won this last time but they didn't; it certainly seems like they have lost their chance.
	16/03/19	Craig 24.213.108.184
Solid Conservative hold. We've seen in the last few years the Chinese-Canadian vote swing hard to the right - noticeable both here and in BC. They got over 60% provincially and should get a similar result federally. The immigration issue may not be helpful to them, but unlike in other parts of the GTA, it probably won't be a deal-breaker, either. Bob Saroya will likely get some additional colleagues from adjacent ridings this time, though, even if on the opposition benches still.
	22/02/19	Kumar Patel 174.112.172.78
Leans Conservative, but not necessarily safe Conservative. It's an understatement to say that Chinese-Canadian voters (whether they were born in Canada or elsewhere) in Ontario have drifted to the right over the last few elections. Scheer's rhetoric on immigration is likely not to be a deal breaker in this riding. However, the Liberals have a chance should Scheer could come across as tone deaf to the concerns of suburban Ontario (lack of action on infrastructure, housing etc).