Barton, Matthew
	Kennedy, Kayley
	Kotze, Stephen
	Reid, Scott
	Schilling, Satinka
Incumbent:
	Scott Reid

References:

Population (2016): Population (2011): Private dwellings: Dwellings occupied by usual residents: Land area Population Density			101630 98424 51548 41424 6467.65 km² 15.7/km²
2015 Results - 2015 Prediction    Reference - Pundits’ Guide (2013 Rep. Order)
	Scott Reid **	27399	47.90%
	Phil Archambault	19325	33.80%
	John Fenik	8073	14.10%
	Anita Payne	2025	3.50%
	Mark Budd	418	0.70%
2011 Results (redistributed)
		30151	60.08%
		9092	18.12%
		8219	16.38%
		2451	4.88%
Other		274	0.55%
Component Riding(s) (2003 Representation Order)
Lanark-Frontenac-Lennox and Addington    (79.05% of voters in current riding)    2011/2008/2004 Predictions    Reference - Pundits’ Guide
Carleton-Mississippi Mills    (12.59% of voters in current riding)    2011/2008/2004 Predictions    Reference - Pundits’ Guide
Kingston and the Islands    (8.36% of voters in current riding)    2011/2008/2004 Predictions    Reference - Pundits’ Guide
2018 Provincial Results - 2018 Prediction
	Randy Hillier *	26194	52.03%
	Ramsey Hart	15339	30.47%
	Amanda Pulker-Mok	5359	10.64%
	Anita Payne	2410	4.79%
2014 Provincial Results (redistributed)
		11815	27.98%
		19816	46.92%
		7678	18.18%
		2903	6.87%
Other		18	0.04%

	19/10/19	Tony Ducey 71.7.242.216
This seat went Conseervative in 2000 during the Chretien years. In 2019 I think Reid wins a 7th term in office.
	27/09/19	R.O. 24.146.17.200
Scott Reid has been an mp for a long time ,and this riding is mostly rural with some suburban areas in Carleton Place. It seems likely to stay conservative .
	15/08/20	A.S. 99.225.32.21
It only seems "by far the most conservative part of Kingston" because it's the N-of-the-401 rural part; but in fact, it together with South Frontenac outflanks that superlative through collectively being by far the most *Liberal* part of the present riding--part of the "Greater Kingston moderation" pattern that unexpectedly threw HL&A next door to the Liberals. Yet that in its turn is outflanked by giga-hereditary-Con Lanark; and as goes the spectre of commuter-suburbdom enveloping Carleton Place, it's presently more like Ottawa's answer to an Orangeville or Alliston than something with incipient Liberal potential. Don't say things couldn't change in the future, though.
	22/07/19	Laurence Putnam 96.53.49.70
An almost 20 year incumbent now, Scott Reid has been a quiet but steady and effective legislator - the Tories have a natural base of support here to be sure - but Scott Reid is a well known commodity in his own right too. Liberals may hate him, but there aren't enough of them in this riding for that to make much difference.
	01/04/19	Craig 24.213.108.184
Strong Conservative hold. Scott Reid - and Randy Hillier - are very popular in this riding, while the modern Liberal agenda largely falls flat especially with the SNC-Lavalin saga. The word ‘Kingston’ is misleading; it only includes a small part of the city north of the 401 and that is by far the most conservative part of Kingston as well. While many commuters from Ottawa have moved out to the northern part of the riding around Carleton Place and Mississippi Mills, it doesn't seem to have affected the political makeup. Perhaps conservatives from Ottawa have relocated to Lanark and that is making their old ridings more liberal? Whatever the case, Scott Reid will be back for a 7th term.
	16/03/19	Sam 86.156.206.227
Scott Reid won this for the Canadian Alliance in 2000, and he's still a good fit for the rural Lanark area now. He should do well again.
	24/02/19	M. Lunn 174.7.100.252
This is solid right wing populist territory so easy Tory hold even if their MPP Randy Hillier and federal MP Scott Reid might drive a lot of the downtown Liberal elites nuts.