Bratina, Bob
	Crocker, Charles
	Kaur, Nikki
	Milanovic, Nick
	Ormond, Peter
Incumbent:
	Bob Bratina

References:

Population (2016): Population (2011): Private dwellings: Dwellings occupied by usual residents: Land area Population Density			107848 107786 45084 43804 67.40 km² 1600.2/km²
2015 Results - 2015 Prediction    Reference - Pundits’ Guide (2013 Rep. Order)
	Bob Bratina	19622	39.00%
	Wayne Marston **	16465	32.70%
	Diane Bubanko	12715	25.30%
	Erin Davis	1305	2.60%
	Bob Mann	170	0.30%
	Wendell Fields	55	0.10%
2011 Results (redistributed)
		16557	36.92%
		19848	44.26%
		6090	13.58%
		1278	2.85%
Other		1075	2.40%
Component Riding(s) (2003 Representation Order)
Hamilton East-Stoney Creek    (100% of voters in current riding)    2011/2008/2004 Predictions    Reference - Pundits’ Guide
2018 Provincial Results - 2018 Prediction
	Paul Miller *	22518	51.15%
	Akash Grewal	12684	28.81%
	Jennifer Stebbing	5320	12.09%
	Brian Munroe	1884	4.28%
2014 Provincial Results (redistributed)
		11741	29.86%
		7122	18.11%
		18037	45.87%
		1550	3.94%
Other		869	2.21%

	20/10/19	Tony Ducey 24.137.73.188
Bratina hasn't done himself no favors it seems. I think that will cost him the seat and it'll return to the NDP.
	12/10/19	Cal 72.39.155.140
Singh may not have long coattails but he’s got enough to bring this over the line.
	06/10/19	Hammer 142.116.85.240
A split between social justice issues and labour is highly overstated. A Singh vs Horwath approach is a matter of strategy. To say SJW/identity politics don't sit well with folks here is to underestimate their intelligence and ability to see labour and social justice as two sides to the same coin. Some people may stay home or go Green but these would be the same fickle voters that put Bratina over the top last time. The core Liberal and NDP voters are relatively the same -- its the swing voter that both sides need to capture and Bratina made it more difficult for himself
	22/09/19	jeff316 69.165.136.142
Why did Bratina's relationship with the Steelworkers fall apart so spectacularly? Because he understands that the people that can help you get elected most often are not the ones you need to stay elected. Simply said, the Steelworkers bark is louder than their bite, and their influence in HE-SC is overstated. Bratina holds.
	17/09/19	Dr. Bear 157.52.15.81
Hammer is very much correct about underlying displeasure with Bratina and his interactions with steel workers. That said, the current federal NDP has abandoned blue-collar workers in favor of SJW rhetoric and identity politics: things that don't go down well in these parts. I think we are going to see many disenfranchised voters just staying home this time. However lack of funds and poor prospects for the NDP will hinder their chances here more so than the Liberals; especially if the NDP are too busy fighting things out on the Mountain and Downtown.
	16/09/19	Hammer 142.116.85.240
Hamiltonians sometimes joke they should vote Liberal or Conservative so they are finally represented in the government. However, Bratina hasn't made any difference for Hamilton. And given his interactions with steelworkers, there is motivaton for the local NDP to campaign hard against him. Due to his own errors, Bratina will have a harder time than he should retaining his seat.
	12/09/19	Laurence Putnam 96.53.49.70
A riding in which the NDP should absolutely be competitive, but in their present circumstances...not so much. Liberal hold.
	06/09/19	South Islander 184.71.12.34
Former Hamilton mayor Bob Bratina won this by 6% against an incumbent in 2015. The LPC are up in Ontario, while the CPC struggle and the NDP are in freefall. Bratina will win easily as the incumbent.
	28/08/19	Sam 86.152.37.162
I said in my initial post it depended on how well the NDP did... so that means a Liberal hold. CPC aren't doing quite so well here either.
	11/08/20	A.S. 99.225.32.21
While MPdom seems so far to be not much more than an excuse for Bratina to while away his post-mayoral/post-radio years, simply being there works to his advantage--like at this point, in the absence of NDP incumbency, the old John Munro/Sheila Copps federal dynamic might as well be reasserting itself...maybe. And really, let's be fair here; the racialized argument against the NDP on leadership grounds might as well also apply to CPC on candidacy grounds. If it applies at all, that is.
	29/05/19	Craig 24.213.108.184
This has 3-way race written all over it. The Liberals have taken a hit among working class voters, while there hasn't been much growth from GTA transplants here so they won't gain that advantage. They do have incumbency though. The Conservatives have a strong candidate and the ability to exploit vote splits, but weak history here. Finally, the NDP have plenty of history and demographics working for them, but a weak leader for the area. Most likely, this will be decided at the margins and based on national results. I'd say the Liberals have the best shot, followed by the Conservatives then the NDP, but none can be ruled out.
	03/04/19	Right Honourable Adult 208.98.222.123
Unlike the neighbouring riding of Hamilton Mountain, running a Ti-Cat here won't yield the same gains the Tories are likely to get on the escarpment. The fact that Bob Bratina beat the long-time NDP incumbent in '15 when the NDP had a far more capable leader gives the Liberals the advantage here.
	17/03/19	seasaw 99.225.244.232
This one is a tough one to call. All three major parties could win this one. Bob Bratina is well known and well liked, CPC candidate, Marwan Hage is also well known and well liked. NDP has a strong presence, so let's say TCTC for now
	08/03/19	Sam 86.28.79.130
This riding is an interesting one; in theory it is winnable for all three of the main parties, although the NDP and Liberals are more likely to win this. Bob Bratina may retire and has had some bad press in recent months, and the NDP have a large presence in Hamilton which could affect this riding. Ultimately it is dependent on how well the NDP do as they could take this in many situations. Too early to call.