Armstrong, Pam
	Hargreaves, Bob
	Helkaa, Donald
	Hendel, Ericha
	Redecop, Peter
	Styve, Richard
	Vecchio, Karen
Incumbent:
	Karen Louise Vecchio

References:

Population (2016): Population (2011): Private dwellings: Dwellings occupied by usual residents: Land area Population Density			115052 110109 46595 44623 2484.52 km² 46.3/km²
2015 Results - 2015 Prediction    Reference - Pundits’ Guide (2013 Rep. Order)
	Karen Louise Vecchio	28023	49.20%
	Lori Baldwin-Sands	17642	31.00%
	Fred Sinclair	8771	15.40%
	Bronagh Joyce Morgan	1783	3.10%
	Michael Hopkins	529	0.90%
	Lou Bernardi	185	0.30%
2011 Results (redistributed)
		28388	58.06%
		11774	24.08%
		6559	13.41%
		1478	3.02%
Other		700	1.43%
Component Riding(s) (2003 Representation Order)
Elgin-Middlesex-London    (100% of voters in current riding)    2011/2008/2004 Predictions    Reference - Pundits’ Guide
2018 Provincial Results - 2018 Prediction
	Jeff Yurek *	29264	55.46%
	Amanda Stratton	16923	32.07%
	Carlie Forsythe	3857	7.31%
	Bronagh Morgan	2029	3.85%
2014 Provincial Results (redistributed)
		8748	19.97%
		20649	47.14%
		11489	26.23%
		2159	4.93%
Other		755	1.72%

	08/10/19	R.O. 24.146.17.200
Karen Vecchio held this riding easily for the cpc in 2015 despite being a rookie candidate and a bad year for the cpc. She’s increased her presence in Ottawa since then and should keep this riding.
	16/08/20	A.S. 99.225.32.21
For Vecchio to nearly hit 50% *as a non-incumbent* amidst the CPC-uncongenial circumstances of 2015 tells you all that you need to know. And let's not overestimate past Liberal solidity here; sure, there was Premier Mitch, but Gar Knutson was a sluggish performer over the Chretien years, and Steve Peters provincially was a force unto himself. Then again, the left-leaning London rump's grown quickly in recent years as development's leapfrogged former municipal boundaries...but a rump's a rump.
	25/07/19	Laurence Putnam 96.53.49.70
Outside city limits in Southwestern Ontario a Tory incumbent can reasonably expect to be returned to Ottawa without much difficult.
	17/04/19	Sam 86.139.26.199
The clue here is in the riding's name - London isn't a significant part of the riding, whereas rural and conservative Elgin and Middlesex are. The latter areas will again seal it for the Conservatives.
	01/04/19	Craig 130.18.104.137
Yes, the Liberals held this solidly for many years federally and provincially. That was in a different era though and Trudeau is a huge liability in this mostly working class riding. Don't be fooled by the ‘London’ part, it is the more conservative parts of the city in this riding, along with deeply conservative Elgin and rural Middlesex where they routinely run up the numbers. Most likely, the results will resemble the 2018 provincial election and the 2011 federal election - dominating wins for the Conservatives. The only thing to watch could be if the PPC can put up a fight; Karen Vecchio is a pretty Red Tory for a riding like this. That said, it would probably take a perfect split on the right for the Liberals or NDP to even have a chance. Much like in the rural and small town Midwest, the days of progressives doing well in rural southwestern Ontario are pretty much over.
	24/02/19	M. Lunn 174.7.100.252
The Liberals used to be competitive here, but recently have not even be competitive in good elections such as 2014 provincially or 2015 federally so the Tories should hold this without too much difficulty. This is part of the Rust Belt so much like the difficulties the Democrats have had in the Midwest, Liberals are facing similar troubles in small town/rural Southwestern Ontario.