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References:
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| 20/10/19 |
Tony Ducey 24.137.73.188 |
Liberal hold here. I believe the former CPC MP, Kyle Seeback, for this area is running in another riding this election so that says a lot IMO. |
| 11/08/20 |
A.S. 99.225.32.21 |
(Correction to my earlier Brampton South post: it was the only Brampton riding where *second place* would have notionally gone to the provincial Tories in 2014--all the others had the NDP ahead of the PCs.) |
| 06/08/20 |
A.S. 99.225.32.21 |
*This*, rather than Brampton North, is the strongest Brampton riding for the Conservatives--it's the only one to go notionally provincial Tory in 2014, and the only one to give them a more-than-supermarginal advantage in 2018. (Even Kyle Seeback in defeat enjoyed CPC's best Brampton share in 2015.) And all of that's a byproduct of its containing the heart of old-stock Old Brampton, Bill Davis and all. But BS has also been rapidly growing in the westward direction, and even Old Brampton's gentrifying/intensifying in away that's diluting old Davis-ian inclinations. And unlike Bramptons Centre and North, it saw a Lib majority in '15. |
| 06/06/19 |
seasaw 99.225.244.232 |
I agree with Right Honourable Adult on this one. Historically, Peel riding's have been somewhat opposites of Halton ridings, in Halton, the Tory wins are always big, Liberal wins are often close, in Peel, it's the other way around. So, we have to wait till closer to election day to predict this riding |
| 07/04/19 |
Right Honourable Adult 108.162.188.167 |
I think it's time to start shifting these into TCTC territory with the way things are going. Yes, there is six months to go until the election. Yes, the Conservatives have an uncanny record of grabbing defeat from the jaws of victory, etc. But, if I'm not mistaken, it takes time and a proper reset to right the ship before it smashes into the rock, and right now it's the Liberals playing the role of the bumblers that the Tories have traditionally played. With that all said, most of Peel should be put into the ??? column till around September. |
| 08/03/19 |
Sam 86.28.79.130 |
This could go Conservative but the Liberals won a majority last time and so a larger swing is required. The Conservatives will win this either if they find a great candidate or if their nationwide performance will win them a majority. |
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