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Terrebonne
2019 Federal Election ~ Élections fédérales


Prediction Changed
2019-10-22 01:47:13
 



Constituency Profile

Candidates:



Barnes, Jeffrey

Beauchemin, Frédéric

Beaudoin, Maxime

Boudrias, Michel

Gagnon, France

Hébert, Jade

Monette, Réjean

Vézina, Paul


Incumbent:

Michel Boudrias

References:
Population (2016):
Population (2011):

Private dwellings:
Dwellings occupied by usual residents:

Land area
Population Density

111575
106322

42622
41801

154.12 km²
723.9/km²


2015 Results - 2015 Prediction
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide (2013 Rep. Order)

Michel Boudrias 1923833.00%
Michèle Audette 1631628.00%
Charmaine Borg ** 1492825.60%
Michel Surprenant 661511.30%
Susan Moen 10161.70%
Louis Clément Sénat 1710.30%


2011 Results (redistributed)

40118.07%
2562651.54%
34416.92%
1530330.78%
13392.69%


Component Riding(s) (2003 Representation Order)


   Montcalm
   (50.1% of voters in current riding)
   2011/2008/2004 Predictions
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide


   Terrebonne-Blainville
   (49.9% of voters in current riding)
   2011/2008/2004 Predictions
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide


17/10/19 Tony Ducey
24.137.73.188
Given the Bloc's upswing the past week or 2 they're going to gain seats and keep seats like ones they won in 2015 like Terrebonne.
14/10/19 R.O.
24.146.17.200
This had been a long time Bloc Quebecois riding except 2011 when it went ndp, bloc are polling well enough in Quebec that they should hold the seats they already have such as an incumbent like Michel Boudrias .
04/09/19 A.S.
99.225.32.21
Were the Bloc to have returned to double-digit seat totals, this is the kind of seat you would have expected them to reclaim. And surely enough, they returned to said totals, and this was one of them. (Liberal strength's mostly concentrated in the extremities--Charlemagne to the E, a certain degree of "Lorraine spillover" to the W.)
14/04/19 Sam
86.153.36.203
This has been a good area for the Bloc and PQ, both parties only lost during their bad elections (2011, 2018 respectively), and so that trend sets Michel Boudrias up for re-election. The Liberals could invest resources into winning this, but other ridings will be higher up the list for them, and for those reasons I expect Boudrias will have an easier time than some of his colleagues, although most of them are in a good position.
26/02/19 J.F. Breton
135.19.103.179
NDP collapse in Quebec. New leader at the Bloc and rising in the polls. Laurentides / Lanaudière is a fertile ground for the Bloc. Victory of Michel Boudrias without hesitation.



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