Binette, Jacques
	Croteau, Guy
	Cusmano, Domenico
	Le Seigle, Yves
	Pham, Chu Anh
	Rodriguez, Pablo
	St-Onge, Patrick
Incumbent:
	Pablo Rodriguez

References:

Population (2016): Population (2011): Private dwellings: Dwellings occupied by usual residents: Land area Population Density			103592 102587 42888 41529 37.92 km² 2732.1/km²
2015 Results - 2015 Prediction    Reference - Pundits’ Guide (2013 Rep. Order)
	Pablo Rodriguez	29211	56.50%
	Paulina Ayala **	8478	16.40%
	Audrey Beauséjour	6680	12.90%
	Guy Croteau	6226	12.10%
	Angela Budilean	814	1.60%
	Dayana Dejean	168	0.30%
	Yves Le Seigle	81	0.20%
2011 Results (redistributed)
		5857	13.01%
		15856	35.22%
		15083	33.50%
		7205	16.00%
		726	1.61%
Other		297	0.66%
Component Riding(s) (2003 Representation Order)
Honoré-Mercier    (89.65% of voters in current riding)    2011/2008/2004 Predictions    Reference - Pundits’ Guide
Bourassa    (10.35% of voters in current riding)    2011/2008/2004 Predictions    Reference - Pundits’ Guide

	17/10/19	Tony Ducey 24.137.73.188
2011 was a brief interlude for the NDP here. I think in 2019 the Liberals will keep this seat following their 2015 win.
	02/09/19	A.S. 99.225.32.21
For Rodriguez to come back boldly by positively pulverizing the incumbent Ayala, sweeping every poll in the riding in the process, says everything you want to know about 2011 being a fluke. (Compounded by how Ayala subsequently got less than 1% running for the *provincial* New Democrats in Rosemont.)
	21/06/19	Laurence Putnam 96.53.49.70
2011 was a black swan event. Safe Liberal for the foreseeable future.
	25/02/19	Sam 86.168.58.172
Although this riding fell victim to the Orange Wave in 2011, the huge shift to 2015 which saw Pablo Rodriguez easily return to Parliament is not something that can be reversed easily. The Liberals are hoovering up NDP support in Quebec so they should gain on the previously main challengers there. It's hard to see this going any other way.