Election Prediction Project
www.electionprediction.com

Dorval-Lachine-LaSalle
2019 Federal Election ~ Élections fédérales


Prediction Changed
2019-10-22 01:43:45
 



Constituency Profile

Candidates:



Dhillon, Anju

Hu, Fang

Laquerre, Céline

Malette, Réjean

Morrison, Lori

Torbati, Arash

Vaudry, Jean-Frédéric

Watso, Xavier


Incumbent:

Anju Dhillon

References:
Population (2016):
Population (2011):

Private dwellings:
Dwellings occupied by usual residents:

Land area
Population Density

112866
106886

53004
49211

49.70 km²
2271.1/km²


2015 Results - 2015 Prediction
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide (2013 Rep. Order)

Anju Dhillon 2997454.90%
Isabelle Morin ** 1176921.60%
Daniela Chivu 604911.10%
Jean-Frédéric Vaudry 53389.80%
Vincent J. Carbonneau 12452.30%
Soulèye Ndiaye 2300.40%


2011 Results (redistributed)

644114.15%
1871241.11%
1338229.40%
525011.54%
13643.00%
Other 3610.79%


Component Riding(s) (2003 Representation Order)


   Notre-Dame-de-Grâce-Lachine
   (55.97% of voters in current riding)
   2011/2008/2004 Predictions
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide


   LaSalle-Émard
   (44.03% of voters in current riding)
   2011/2008/2004 Predictions
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide


17/10/19 Tony Ducey
24.137.73.188
Part of this riding was Paul Martin's political home when he was MP. Easy Liberal hold.
02/09/19 A.S.
99.225.32.21
Lachine's an odd duck, a West Island Quebecois enclave that can go heavily Bloc, NDP, or whichever attractively non-Liberal-federalist option of the moment--indeed, it's what unexpectedly got NDG Orange Crushed in 2011. But now, divorced from NDG on behalf of a Dorval-LaSalle vice grip, any electoral effect Lachine might have has been thoroughly neutralized in a post-Orange Crush climate...where do those votes now go? Back to the Bloc? Only makes a Liberal hold all the more of an inevitability.
02/06/19 seasaw
99.225.244.232
Expect the Liberals to do better than the last time. What happened in 2011 isn't going to happen again this time or maybe anytime in the future. Easy Liberal hold.
31/03/19 Sam
109.146.233.52
It was stunning this went NDP in 2011, but there's no chance of those circumstances that allowed that to happen being repeated. This should be a Liberal hold regardless of the candidate.
22/02/19 COAST TO COAST TO COAST
99.226.134.34
If this riding was only Lachine - LaSalle it would be highly favoured for the Liberals. With Dorval added to the mix this will be a lock for the Liberals.



Navigate to Canada 2019 Home | Provincial/Regional Index | Submission

Canada Federal Election - 2019 - Élections fédérales canadiennes
Election Prediction Project - www.electionprediction.com
© Election Prediction Project, 1999-2019 - Email Webmaster