Election Prediction Project
www.electionprediction.com

Bourassa
2019 Federal Election ~ Élections fédérales


Prediction Changed
2019-10-22 01:42:55
 



Constituency Profile

Candidates:



Ashe, Payton

Di Iorio, Joseph

Dubourg, Emmanuel

Lamour, Konrad

Lavoie, Anne-Marie

Lefebvre, Catherine

Léger, Louis

Roy, Françoise


Incumbent:

Emmanuel Dubourg

References:
Population (2016):
Population (2011):

Private dwellings:
Dwellings occupied by usual residents:

Land area
Population Density

101032
100286

46646
43115

13.56 km²
7450.0/km²


2015 Results - 2015 Prediction
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide (2013 Rep. Order)

Emmanuel Dubourg ** 2223454.10%
Gilles Léveillé 704917.10%
Dolmine Laguerre 614414.90%
Jason Potasso-Justino 38199.30%
Maxime Charron 8862.20%
Julie Demers 6691.60%
Claude Brunelle 2290.60%
Jean-Marie Floriant Ndzana 990.20%


2011 Results (redistributed)

31158.22%
1226832.36%
1458538.47%
721219.02%
5891.55%
Other 1430.38%


Component Riding(s) (2003 Representation Order)


   Bourassa
   (89.58% of voters in current riding)
   2011/2008/2004 Predictions
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide


   Ahuntsic
   (10.42% of voters in current riding)
   2011/2008/2004 Predictions
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide


17/10/19 Tony Ducey
24.137.73.188
Dubourg will hold on here for the Liberals. This area stayed Liberal in the 1984 Mulroney PC landslide.
02/09/19 A.S.
99.225.32.21
I mistakenly marked this as NDP in 2015 when I simply meant to ‘allow’ for them in an Orange Crush II circumstance. But now we're more likely looking at a PET-era Quebec Liberal result where Dubourg prevails over dwarves, AlbertaCon or Eggleton-era York Centre style.
26/07/19 Laurence Putnam
96.53.49.70
Another ‘Liberal by default’ seat; BQ hasn't cracked 20% here in a decade, Tories are a non-starter, NPD is dead. Uninspiring Liberal win.
06/05/19 Sam
81.157.167.181
The North of Montreal continues to be a bright spot for the Liberals. Emmanuel Dubourg should be re-elected.
24/02/19 M. Lunn
174.7.100.252
This stayed Liberal in the 2011 disaster so with the Liberals in good shape to gain seats in Quebec, I suspect they will hold this without too much difficulty.



Navigate to Canada 2019 Home | Provincial/Regional Index | Submission

Canada Federal Election - 2019 - Élections fédérales canadiennes
Election Prediction Project - www.electionprediction.com
© Election Prediction Project, 1999-2019 - Email Webmaster