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References:
Population (2016): Population (2011):Private dwellings: Dwellings occupied by usual residents: Land area Population Density |
86498 8558334355 33205 644.93 km² 134.1/km² |
2015 Results - 2015 Prediction
Reference - Pundits’ Guide (2013 Rep. Order)
|
 | Darrell Samson |
23161 | 48.00% |
 | Peter Stoffer ** |
16613 | 34.40% |
 | Robert Thomas Strickland |
7186 | 14.90% |
 | Mike Montgomery |
1341 | 2.80% |
2011 Results (redistributed)
|
 | |
11771 | 30.19% |
 | |
21174 | 54.30% |
 | |
4409 | 11.31% |
 | |
1636 | 4.20% |
Other | |
3 | 0.01%% |
Component Riding(s) (2003 Representation Order)
|
Sackville-Eastern Shore
(99.65% of voters in current riding)
2011/2008/2004 Predictions
Reference - Pundits’ Guide
|
Cumberland-Colchester-Musquodoboit Valley
(0.35% of voters in current riding)
2011/2008/2004 Predictions
Reference - Pundits’ Guide
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|
 | 17/10/19 |
Tony Ducey 24.137.73.188 |
This was probably more a Peter Stoffer riding than anything else. He's not on the ballot this time. Given the Liberal brand strength out this way Samson should hold on for the Liberals. |
 | 13/10/19 |
Physastr Master 72.182.105.136 |
It may be that this was a Peter Stoffer riding rather than an NDP one, but with the NDP polling in the low-to-high-20s in the Atlantic provinces, ridings like this are in play |
 | 25/08/20 |
A.S. 99.225.32.21 |
Let's remember that subsequent #MeToo accusations would have hampered a Stoffer re-bid--and on top of that is the provincial NDP losing Sackville-Cobequid to the Tories in a byelection, a seat the party had held since *1984*. Because of all this, things look more likely set to return to a pre-90s Maritime Lib vs PC technical norm; and it'd be more McNeil than Justin backlash that'd threaten Samson--but it's also a more squarely "suburban Halifax" riding than that which first elected Stoffer, which works to the Libs' generic favour these days. |
 | 28/06/19 |
Laurence Putnam 96.53.49.70 |
Agree 100% this was a Peter Stoffer riding...not an NDP riding. Of course, there are no longer any NDP seats in Atlantic Canada anyway, and with the possible exception of Jack Harris I would imagine it will stay that way. |
 | 11/03/19 |
COAST TO COAST TO COAST 99.226.134.34 |
The Liberals won handily over the NDP in 2015. This was against popular MP Peter Stoffer. Now that the Liberals have the incumbent and Stoffer is apparently not running, this should stay with the Liberals this year. |
 | 25/02/19 |
Sam 86.168.58.172 |
Given the traditional strength of the NDP in the Halifax area, it might be assumed that they have a good shot here, but with the NDP losing its Atlantic Canada base, and the retirement of Peter Stoffer, the 48% Darrell Samson received last time is likely to hold up better than other ridings in the region and translate into a Liberal win, but this is far from certain at this stage. I would still however call it as a Liberal riding this October. |
 | 24/02/19 |
M. Lunn 174.7.100.252 |
This was more a Peter Stoffer riding than NDP one, so with him not running again, should stay Liberal. Tories are very weak even in the rural parts of the HRM, Cumberland-Colchester is the only Nova Scotia riding I could realistically see them gaining. |
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