Eisses, Josh
	Hutchings, Gudie
	Knill, Lucas
	Miles, Robert
	Pike, Holly
Incumbent:
	Gudie Hutchings

References:

Population (2016): Population (2011): Private dwellings: Dwellings occupied by usual residents: Land area Population Density			86553 87592 46159 37779 37967.03 km² 2.3/km²
2015 Results - 2015 Prediction    Reference - Pundits’ Guide (2013 Rep. Order)
	Gudie Hutchings	30889	73.90%
	Wayne Ruth	5085	12.20%
	Devon Babstock	4739	11.30%
	Terry Cormier	1111	2.70%
2011 Results (redistributed)
		9050	25.25%
		6394	17.84%
		19770	55.16%
		371	1.04%
Other		258	0.72%
Component Riding(s) (2003 Representation Order)
Humber-St. Barbe-Baie Verte    (65.86% of voters in current riding)    2011/2008/2004 Predictions    Reference - Pundits’ Guide
Random-Burin-St. George's    (34.14% of voters in current riding)    2011/2008/2004 Predictions    Reference - Pundits’ Guide

	17/10/19	Tony Ducey 24.137.73.188
Gudie Hutchings will hold on here. Apparently the CPC candidate is from outside the province. That won't bode well in a province that has a strained relationship already with the CPC.
	25/09/19	R.O. 24.146.17.200
A relatively safe liberal seat , although if the conservatives eventually recover on newfoundland such ridings will eventually be closer races .
	07/09/19	A.S. 99.225.32.21
Presently, the N&L riding with the longest continuous spell of electing the Liberals (since 1980). It'd only have had a real chance of going CPC had Ches Crosbie won the provincial election in a ‘Danny Williams’ landslide and made amends with his nominal national counterparts.
	01/07/19	ottawa99 75.119.241.205
According to a Narrative Research poll focusing specifically on Atlantic Canada (https://cra.ca/wp-content/uploads/2019/06/June-5-19-News-Release-Atlantic-Federal-Voting-Intentions.pdf), the Liberals are only three points ahead of the Conservatives in NL (45 to 42%). Of course, this is only one poll. It would need to be corroborated by other polls that give results for NL, or riding-specific polls. That said, if these numbers are accurate, this seat is likely in play. Recent federal election results and demographics suggest any Conservative strength is likely not in the two St. John's seats, meaning that it would likely be concentrated in rural ridings such as this.
	25/06/19	Sam 86.139.26.193
No way Gudie Hutchings loses this - she's nothing special but it's just too Liberal to go for another party. I can see why some swing calculations have this as a tossup, but that methodology is flawed. The Liberal voters here are more ideologically left than the traditional Liberals in Bonavista-Burin-Trinity; they won't flock to the Conservatives in large numbers. This should be a Liberal hold with 50-60% of the vote.
	10/06/19	(Vancouver) Islander 24.108.22.75
I have a ton of respect for 338Canada, but there's no way in hell that this is a ‘toss-up’.
	31/05/19	Laurence Putnam 96.53.49.70
Long Range Mountains describes this seat for the Liberals perfectly, because they'll hold it for a long range of time with mountains and mountains of votes. Everyone else is an also-ran.
	24/02/19	Sam 109.150.190.148
It would be stunning if this riding went anything but Liberal. Gudie Hutchings won over 70% last time and is running again, and if the Bonavista by-election in a very similar riding is representative of this election, she should be fine; it would take a staggering underperformance to be competitive with the main challenger, the Conservatives.
	24/02/19	M. Lunn 174.7.100.252
went over 50% Liberal in the 2011 meltdown so easy Liberal hold.