Election Prediction Project
www.electionprediction.com

Ontario Provincial Election - 2018

Nickel Belt


Prediction Changed
2017-12-14 21:35:00
 



Constituency Profile

Candidates:

 

BRAULT, KEVIN R.

BURCH-BELANGER, BAILEY

BUTT, TAY

CARDINAL, JO-ANN

CHRETIEN, JAMES

CRUMPLIN, BILL

DEL PAPA, MATTHEW

G?LINAS, FRANCE


Incumbent(s):
    Nickel Belt
   France Gélinas

   (100.00% of voters in new riding)
   2014/2008 Predictions


Reference:
Population (2011):84520


2014 Election Result:
Transposition courtesy of Kyle Hutton

7031 21.90%
3827 11.92%
20104 62.62%
1145 3.57%
Total Transposed 32107

Component Riding(s) & Votes Transposed

    Nickel Belt

7031
3827
20104
1145
Total Transposed32107


Federal Election Result (2015):

Marc G. Serré
2102142.80%
Claude Gravelle **
1855637.80%
Aino Laamanen
822116.70%
Stuart McCall
12172.50%
Dave Starbuck
980.20%


 

5/27/2018 NJam101
208.96.95.84
This could very well be the biggest NDP victory of any electoral district. Gelinas may even break 70%! Nickel Belt has voted NDP in every election for the last 50 years.
5/24/2018 Dr. Bear
184.175.13.231
Over 60% for the NDP in 2014? Easy hold, especially in today's electoral environment.
28/04/2018 NJam101
208.96.95.84
France Gelinas is extremely popular and nobody will come close to her. Many people here work in mining and most of them are big NDP supporters. If the NDP were to win government then Gelinas would definitely be in cabinet. I spend a lot of time in this riding and her popularity is unbelievably high. It wouldn't surprise me to see her get over 70% of the votes this time.
19/04/2018 A.S.
99.225.48.35
The federal Nickel Belt went Liberal; but it had Sturgeon Falls, and its provincial counterpart doesn't. And one'd have to read an *awful* lot into Ford Tory populist strength to think of this as being within PC radar. Gelinas had the best ONDP result in 2014, and it's hard to see things as being much different now...
22/12/2017 R.O.
24.146.17.189
Although the federal liberals sometimes win this riding, its remained fairly safe for the ndp at the provincial level and France Gelinas is running again, not as interesting as Sudbury race.
13/12/2017 M. Lunn
174.7.110.151
This has long been an NDP stronghold and with how unpopular the Liberals are in Northern Ontario, it will be more about holding onto what they have, not picking up new seats.



Navigate to Ontario 2018 Home | Regional Index | Submission

Ontario Provincial Election - 2018
Election Prediction Project/Projet D'Élection Prévision - www.electionprediction.org
© Election Prediction Project, 1999-2018 - Email Webmaster