Leeds-Grenville-Thousand Islands and Rideau Lakes

	BUCKLEY, BILL
	CLARK, STEVE
	HENDERSON, DAVID
	MORLEY, DEREK
	TAYLOR, MICHELLE

Incumbent(s):

	Leeds-Grenville    Steve Clark    (100.00% of voters in new riding)    2014/2008 Predictions

Reference:

Population (2011):			99306
2014 Election Result: Transposition courtesy of Kyle Hutton
		8499	20.49%
		23253	56.07%
		7219	17.41%
		2030	4.89%
	OTHERS	471	1.14%
	Total Transposed	41472
	Component Riding(s) & Votes Transposed
	Leeds-Grenville
		8499
		23253
		7219
		2030
	Others	471
	Total Transposed	41472
Federal Election Result (2015):
		Gord Brown **
		26738	47.40%
		Mary Jean McFall
		22888	40.60%
		Margaret Andrade
		4722	8.40%
		Lorraine A. Rekmans
		2088	3.70%

	24/05/2018	Dr. Bear 184.175.13.231
While the federal liberals came close to a surprise upset in this riding in 2015, nothing like that is going to happen like that provincially in 2018. The PCs can phone it in and still win handily.
	13/04/2018	A.S. 99.225.48.35
The Tories have held Leeds-Grenville and predecessors for 30 years *plus plus*; after all, Bob Runciman held on (if barely) in the 1987 disaster--in fact, the Tory blue history goes back at least a century before *that*, with only a Hepburn-era term for the Liberals as respite. Though if the opposition seeks hope, it might be in how federally in 2015, the Justin Liberals got over 40% and far closer to upsetting Gord Brown than anyone could have expected. But that was federally, and that was 2015. Here, it'd be more like banking for a future (and preferably Steve Clark-less) race.
	12/03/2018	MF 69.158.152.4
Whether it's Doug Ford or a more mainstream PC leader, Leeds-Grenville stays Tory blue.
	15/12/2017	M. Lunn 174.7.110.151
This is one of the safest PC ridings in all of the province so regardless of how they perform province-wide they will easily hold this one.
	13/12/2017	M. Lunn 174.7.110.151
One of the safest PC ridings in the entire province so easy PC hold regardless of how they do province-wide.
	10/12/2017	Innocent bystander 67.215.130.68
It would be a moral victory for the opposition if the Tories, who've held the riding for 30 years, are kept under 50%.