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Ontario Provincial Election - 2018

Leeds-Grenville-Thousand Islands and Rideau Lakes


Prediction Changed
2017-12-10 21:13:00
 



Constituency Profile

Candidates:

 

BUCKLEY, BILL

CLARK, STEVE

HENDERSON, DAVID

MORLEY, DEREK

TAYLOR, MICHELLE


Incumbent(s):
    Leeds-Grenville
   Steve Clark

   (100.00% of voters in new riding)
   2014/2008 Predictions


Reference:
Population (2011):99306


2014 Election Result:
Transposition courtesy of Kyle Hutton

8499 20.49%
23253 56.07%
7219 17.41%
2030 4.89%
OTHERS 471 1.14%
Total Transposed 41472

Component Riding(s) & Votes Transposed

    Leeds-Grenville

8499
23253
7219
2030
Others471
Total Transposed41472


Federal Election Result (2015):

Gord Brown **
2673847.40%
Mary Jean McFall
2288840.60%
Margaret Andrade
47228.40%
Lorraine A. Rekmans
20883.70%


 

24/05/2018 Dr. Bear
184.175.13.231
While the federal liberals came close to a surprise upset in this riding in 2015, nothing like that is going to happen like that provincially in 2018. The PCs can phone it in and still win handily.
13/04/2018 A.S.
99.225.48.35
The Tories have held Leeds-Grenville and predecessors for 30 years *plus plus*; after all, Bob Runciman held on (if barely) in the 1987 disaster--in fact, the Tory blue history goes back at least a century before *that*, with only a Hepburn-era term for the Liberals as respite. Though if the opposition seeks hope, it might be in how federally in 2015, the Justin Liberals got over 40% and far closer to upsetting Gord Brown than anyone could have expected. But that was federally, and that was 2015. Here, it'd be more like banking for a future (and preferably Steve Clark-less) race.
12/03/2018 MF
69.158.152.4
Whether it's Doug Ford or a more mainstream PC leader, Leeds-Grenville stays Tory blue.
15/12/2017 M. Lunn
174.7.110.151
This is one of the safest PC ridings in all of the province so regardless of how they perform province-wide they will easily hold this one.
13/12/2017 M. Lunn
174.7.110.151
One of the safest PC ridings in the entire province so easy PC hold regardless of how they do province-wide.
10/12/2017 Innocent bystander
67.215.130.68
It would be a moral victory for the opposition if the Tories, who've held the riding for 30 years, are kept under 50%.



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