Hamilton East-Stoney Creek

	CHENOWETH, LINDA
	DEROO, ALLAN
	GREWAL, AKASH
	MILLER, PAUL
	MONROY, LUCINA
	MUNROE, BRIAN
	STEBBING, JENNIFER

Incumbent(s):

	Hamilton East-Stoney Creek    Paul Miller    (100.00% of voters in new riding)    2014/2008 Predictions

Reference:

Population (2011):			107786
2014 Election Result: Transposition courtesy of Kyle Hutton
		11741	29.86%
		7122	18.11%
		18037	45.87%
		1550	3.94%
	OTHERS	869	2.21%
	Total Transposed	39318
	Component Riding(s) & Votes Transposed
	Hamilton East-Stoney Creek
		11741
		7122
		18037
		1550
	Others	869
	Total Transposed	39318
Federal Election Result (2015):
		Bob Bratina
		19622	39.00%
		Wayne Marston **
		16465	32.70%
		Diane Bubanko
		12715	25.30%
		Erin Davis
		1305	2.60%
		Bob Mann
		170	0.30%
		Wendell Fields
		55	0.10%

	16/04/2018	A.S. 99.225.48.35
I'll allow for the upset potential; after all, the Hamilton East part *has* been pared back a touch, and Miller already fell (or, some might say, 'normalized') in share last time. (And of course, we've already seen a federal upset--and hey, Bratina may be a 'flake', but he's still a former mayor with the cachet that implies.) But face it: we're talking about within the ONDP leader's orbit here; and because said leader ain't Kathleen Wynne, it's a little redundant to protest-vote against her...
	12/04/2018	manny 64.228.242.213
Human rights complaints filed against two Hamilton NDP politicians Human rights complaints filed against two Hamilton NDP politicians Two office staffers with Mountain MPP Monique Taylor and one with east Hamilton-Stoney Creek MPP Paul Miller have alleged workplace bullying and discrimination
	12/04/2018	192.171.48.70
This riding will be barely won by the NDP...and Miller is dealing with issues at QP....could even go under the blue Wave ....not a lock IMHO
	19/03/2018	jeff316 69.165.157.213
Could the NDP go down to one Hamilton seat come June? Probably, no. Possible, yes. The question is, who would be left standing? Miller might have just enough of the angryman persona to hang on but then again a classy-but-stiff Eisenberg-esque PC candidate could present enough of a contrasting image to garner more emotionally-balanced voters and let Doug Ford appeal to the cranks. I mean, this riding elected Bob Bratina (a flake if there ever was one) of all people. So who knows. NDP ends up with G
	08/01/2018	MF 69.159.31.101
Most of this riding *is* in Stoney Creek, so obviously the NDP doesn't have a problem there. Paul Miller should have no problem being re-elected.
	13/12/2017	M. Lunn 174.7.110.151
Normally not a safe NDP riding, but the Liberals have really tanked in the heavy manufacturing areas so despite winning federally here, don't see them winning provincially. The Hamilton portion will go heavily NDP while Stoney Creek being more suburban could go either Liberal or PC but neither will win it by enough to offset their weakness in the old city of Hamilton portions.
	10/12/2017	Innocent bystander 67.215.130.68
The NDP won by 17 points last time around. Would require a major NDP collapse and Liberal gains to become a competitive riding.