Bruce-Grey-Owen Sound

	DOBBYN, FRANCESCA
	GVENTER, KAREN
	KAIKKONEN, JANICE
	MARSHALL, DON B.
	MARSHALL, ELIZABETH LIZ
	MARTIN, ENOS
	MILLER, JAY
	WALKER, BILL

Incumbent(s):

	Bruce-Grey-Owen Sound    Bill Walker    (100.00% of voters in new riding)    2014/2008 Predictions

Reference:

Population (2011):			106475
2014 Election Result: Transposition courtesy of Kyle Hutton
		11586	27.06%
		20359	47.55%
		6787	15.85%
		3696	8.63%
	OTHERS	388	0.91%
	Total Transposed	42816
	Component Riding(s) & Votes Transposed
	Bruce-Grey-Owen Sound
		11586
		20359
		6787
		3696
	Others	388
	Total Transposed	42816
Federal Election Result (2015):
		Larry Miller **
		26297	46.70%
		Kimberley Love
		21879	38.80%
		David McLaren
		6270	11.10%
		Chris Albinati
		1887	3.30%

	27/05/2018	Rural Watcher 107.167.108.182
Still sticking to a relatively easy PC win here. But, I don't buy think this will be the runaway 60%-of-the-vote win that some are predicting. PC support is obviously waning in the province, and the sheer number of right-wing parties running in this riding will take some support away from Walker. I think Dobbyn would make an excellent MPP, but she's running for the wrong party in the wrong riding at the wrong time. Gventer will finish 2nd, but I don't think it will be close.
	25/05/2018	Michael Craig 99.241.21.3
The Tories won handily last time around, but as of today, May 25, the NDP is neck and neck with the Conservatives in recent polls, with the Liberals faltering. So don't write off Karen Gventer of the NDP just yet
	5/22/2018	The Lobster 24.140.227.236
They love the Conservatives in these parts. Larry Miller. Bill Murdoch. Now Bill Walker. Hard to see them losing this riding. Most interesting will be the order of the other three parties.
	17/05/2018	Bza 142.229.115.110
Definite conservative hold. My parents grew up in Walkerton and Cargill, very conservative part of the province.
	09/05/2018	Laurence Putnam 50.92.139.181
If the Tories got almost 50% here last go around, the only discussion worth having this time is just how well they will do this time. 55-60% is not out of reach.
	29/04/2018	PM 174.115.72.156
The only interesting thing in this riding is who finishes 2nd & 3rd. Plus how many votes the Liberal lose.
	20/03/2018	A.S. 184.151.179.182
Actually, in BGOS's recent history of Green overperformances, the Bruce Peninsula *hasn't* particularly stood out--at least, not compared to the party's erstwhile left-vote proxy status in Owen Sound and Meaford--and indeed, their 2011 candidate was a municipal politician whise base was in the *south* of the riding. But given present figures, *any* party will be lucky to get half of Bill Walker's vote this cycle...
	08/01/2018	Rural Watcher 216.183.138.211
The P.C.'s could nominate a skeleton in this riding and still get 40% of the votes without campaigning. Bill Walker retains easily.
	08/01/2018	MF 69.159.31.101
A traditionally PC rural Ontario riding. The strong Green vote in Owen Sound and the Bruce Peninsula is an interesting electoral footnote however.
	13/12/2017	M. Lunn 174.7.110.151
This is generally a very safe PC riding and the only party that might be able to challenge them is the Green Party who at this point are too invisible to have much chance never mind they are strong in Bruce peninsula but are much weaker as you head further south in the riding.
	15/12/2017	M. Lunn 174.7.110.151
This is a very safe conservative riding and the only party that has ever even been somewhat competitive is the Green Party, but their support is largely concentrated on the Bruce peninsula while south of that is solidly PC. So easy PC hold and it does tend to like its mavericks too as both Bill Walker and federal MP Larry Miller are mavericks.
	11/12/2017	99.228.128.85
Bill Walker cruised to an easy victory last time around, this riding has been blue since the Harris days.
	10/12/2017	Innocent bystander 67.215.130.68
Barring any unusual local circumstances, any rural riding held by the Tories now will be held by the Tories after the election.