Brampton West

	DHILLON, VIC
	GUILLEMET-ACKERMAN, JULIE
	SAHOTA, SURJIT
	SANDHU, AMARJOT
	SHAW, DAVID
	SINGH, JAGROOP

Incumbent(s):

	Brampton West    Vic Dhillon    (100.00% of voters in new riding)    2014/2008 Predictions

Reference:

Population (2011):			101762
2014 Election Result: Transposition courtesy of Kyle Hutton
		11600	45.99%
		5534	21.94%
		6571	26.05%
		586	2.32%
	OTHERS	930	3.69%
	Total Transposed	25221
	Component Riding(s) & Votes Transposed
	Brampton West
		11600
		5534
		6571
		586
	Others	930
	Total Transposed	25221
Federal Election Result (2015):
		Kamal Khera
		24256	55.90%
		Ninder Thind
		13068	30.10%
		Adaoma Patterson
		5400	12.40%
		Karthika Gobinath
		674	1.60%

	27/05/2018	Dr. Bear 184.175.13.231
Vic Dhillon has been a long time MPP and that's going to curb any NDP surge in this riding. As a result, a potential vote split will help the PCs. I really think this is a three-horse race at the moment, and TCTC.
	07/04/2018	A.S. 99.225.48.35
An electoral-demographic work in progress (most of this riding wasn't even developed prior to Y2K), the present redraw of Brampton West reflects the ghost of Jagmeet through a notional second-place NDP result in 2014--perhaps it's tallies like that which can engender the most hope in those who fear an 'inevitable' Doug Ford 905 sweep, whether by way of victor or by way of spoiler. Of course, as we know from 1995, Cons jumping from third to pole position aren't unheard of--particularly in seats like this one. But, still...
	26/03/2018	Innocent bystander 67.215.130.68
The post-Ford-wins polls are out, and the results are horrific for Peel Liberals, showing a net swing to the Tories of over 40 points (-18, +24). If, and admittedly a large 'if', these results are consistent across the region, the Liberal Peel caucus goes from 7 (out of 8 seats) to nonexistent.
	27/02/2018	Stevo 165.225.76.192
Although this seat, like all in Brampton and Mississauga, will generally default to Liberal, the seemingly overwhelming Liberal margins mean nothing here in a Tory wave event. This isn't St. Paul's or University-Rosedale. People here are true Liberal-leaning SWING voters and can, and will, turn on a dime just as they did in the 2011 federal election when *every single Bram/Miss seat* save one (Miss-Erindale, which had already gone Tory in 2008) flipped from Lib to Conservative...and then back to Lib in 2015. With the PCs still well in the polls ahead despite itself, the odds favour a PC pickup.
	19/01/2018	Bill 69.158.95.220
This is widely considered a safe liberal seat, but if the PC wave is strong enough this riding will go Blue. The PC's have nominated Amarjot Sandhu who is a new Canadian but had a large nomination so has a strong start to his race. It will be interesting to see who the NDP nominate as it will be crucial to a PC victory. Vic Dhillon is also rarely to be seen at events in Town and has been widely known to be an absentee MPP so we cannot underestimate a PC win here.
	15/12/2017	M. Lunn 174.7.110.151
This is probably the safest Liberal riding of the Brampton ones so as long as the Liberals avoid falling to third they should hold this. But with the polls being all over the place, until we get a clearer picture I will withhold predicting this.