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United Kingdom General Election - 2017

Cardiff North


Prediction Changed
2017-06-06 18:46:46
 



Constituency Profile

Candidates:

 

Hemsley, Matthew

McMorrin, Anna

Oldfield, Gary

Webb, Steffan

Williams, Craig

Incumbent:
Craig Williams

2016 EU Referendum (Remain vs. Leave)
60.85 % vs. 39.15 % (Est.)

2015 Election Result
Williams, Craig
2170942.4%
Williams, Mari
1957238.3%
Wilkinson, Ethan
39537.7%
Walker Jones, Elin
23014.5%
Clark, Elizabeth
19533.8%
Osner, Ruth
12542.5%
Green, Jeff
331 .7%
Jenkins, Shaun
78 .2%
2010 Election Result (2010 Prediction)
Evans, J.P.
1786037.5%
Morgan, J. Ms.*
1766637.1%
Dixon, J.L.
872418.3%
Rhys, L.a.
15883.3%
Gwynn, L.D.
11302.4%
von Ruhland, C.J.
362 .8%
Thomson, D.L.
300 .6%
2005 Election Result (transposed)
17706
16561
8483
1938
Other673


 

07/06/2017 A
70.35.100.50
Tories increased their margin from 200 to 2,000 without an incumbent... now with a Tory incumbent (and nearly 4k UKIP votes to poach), that could be tough to overcome, even with the Remain vote making this an intriguing Labour target...
05/05/2017 Expat
69.159.37.34
This was a big remain seat and the margin last time was very small (1.8% not 18%). Labour held on in the local elections and could well pick this up, with Welsh Labour running their own campaign.
Cardiff voted remain and Labour held on in the city in the local elections on May 5th. Labour will hold on in the GE as well.
05/05/2017 JC
162.23.111.62
Labour suffered losses across the country, and Cardiff was one of the few bright spots where it retained control of Cardiff council, despite internal dispute among the councillors. As the first minister said, Labour had certainly 'defied the odds' in Cardiff. This bolds well for them in Wales, and in Cardiff specifically in June.
26/04/2017 Jack Cox
24.212.227.58
Tories won here by 18 and they'll easily hold it again.



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