Election Prediction Project
www.electionprediction.com

United Kingdom General Election - 2017

Newry and Armagh


Prediction Changed
2017-05-01 21:58:12
 



Constituency Profile

Candidates:

 

Brady, Mickey

Coade, Jackie

Irwin, William

McNulty, Justin

Nicholson, Sam

Incumbent:
Mickey Brady

2016 EU Referendum (Remain vs. Leave)
63.14 % vs. 36.86 %

2015 Election Result
Brady, Mickey
2048841.1%
Kennedy, Danny
1631232.7%
McNulty, Justin
1202624.1%
Nicholl, Kate
8411.7%
Rigby, Robert
210 .4%
2010 Election Result (2010 Prediction)
Murphy, C.*
1885742.0%
Bradley, D.
1052623.4%
Kennedy, D.
855819.1%
Irwin, W.G.
576412.8%
Frazer, W.
6561.5%
Muir, A.
5451.2%
2005 Election Result (transposed)
12770
7025
9311
20965
Other625


 

01/05/2017 J.F. Breton
69.70.5.122
A relative safe seat for Sinn Fein. More than 40% of the vote in the two last general elections.
01/05/2017 Jack Cox
24.226.65.140
This is a hardcore nationalist seat, it was won by the UUP in the 80's because of a split unionist vote. Last time around there was one unionist party in contention here so that's why it was much closer. This will be won by either SDLP or Sinn Fein and I'm willing to believe there's an advantage to the incumbent here.



Navigate to UK 2017 Home | Northern Ireland Index | Submission

United Kingdom General Election - 2017
Election Prediction Project - www.electionprediction.com
© Election Prediction Project, 1999-2017 - Email Webmaster