Election Prediction Project
www.electionprediction.com

United Kingdom General Election - 2017

Southport


Prediction Changed
2017-06-04 22:52:09
 



Constituency Profile

Candidates:

 

Durrance, Terry

McGuire, Sue

Moore, Damien

Savage, Liz

Incumbent:
John Pugh

2016 EU Referendum (Remain vs. Leave)
53.71 % vs. 46.29 % (Est.)

2015 Election Result
Pugh, John*
1365231.0%
Moore, Damien
1233028.0%
Savage, Liz
846819.2%
Durrance, Terry
742916.9%
Rankin, Laurence
12302.8%
Barlow, Jacqueline
9922.3%
2010 Election Result (2010 Prediction)
Pugh, J.D.*
2170749.6%
Porter, B. Ms.
1568335.8%
Conalty, J.
41169.4%
Durrance, T.J.
22515.1%
2005 Election Result (transposed)
5277
15254
19092
Other1575


 

07/06/2017 A
70.35.100.50
With Pugh retiring and UKIP in a state of disarray, this should go Tory, even given their unpopularity in the region. Probably a seat Labour will take next time they get a majority
26/04/2017 Jack Cox
24.212.227.58
This is really the only competitive area in Merseyside and its between the LDs and the Tories. I suspect the Tories with their much better polling will take this.



Navigate to UK 2017 Home | North West Index | Submission

United Kingdom General Election - 2017
Election Prediction Project - www.electionprediction.com
© Election Prediction Project, 1999-2017 - Email Webmaster