Election Prediction Project

Canada Federal Election - 2015

Calgary Signal Hill

Prediction Changed
2015-03-25 21:27:34

Constituency Profile


Ahmed, Khalis

Cundal, Kerry

Knorren, Taryn

Liepert, Ron

Moen, Tim

Rau, Jesse

(2011 census)


2011 Result/résultats (redistributed)

Other 1200.27%
Reference - Pundits’ Guide (2013 Rep)

Component Riding(s)
Circonscription(s) constituant

   Calgary West
   (167/218 polls, 79.43% of voters in new riding)
   2011/2008/2004 Predictions
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide (2003 Rep Order)

Rob Anders

   Calgary Centre
   (48/218 polls, 20.57% of voters in new riding)
   2011/2008/2004 Predictions
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide (2003 Rep Order)

Joan Crockatt


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15 09 30 Teddy Boragina
Not a projection, but a note.
The Libertarians are running their leader here. Moen has been able to capture a huge amount of attention - for a nowhere party. It's not unfathomable that he could take 5% or more in the riding.
He can't win though, the Tories will win.
Also, a note to the editing staff, the Libertarians have changed logos since the last election, and now use a yellow leaf logo, not the green triangle.
The Libertarians are also running a 'near full slate' in Alberta, and I would not be surprised to see them take, at least, 2% provincewide in the election, if not upwards of 3% or 4%.
15 09 29 A.S.
Rob Anders outa there = less EPP hand-wringing, wishful thinking, etc etc etc. Or at least, any of *that* would have been fleetingly inherited by the immediate Notley-election aftermath, when *nothing* in urban Alberta seemed sacred. (As usual: that was then...)
15 09 23 Tony Ducey
CPC hold, Liepert is very high profile.
15 09 06 R.O.
An open riding after conservative mp Rob Anders lost nomination to Ron Liepert a former alberta pc mla. Some Calgary ridings might be closer than 2011 but still more likely to go cpc . also after news this week that wildrose won Calgary foothills by-election it appears ndp momentum over in Calgary and politics returning to normal here. Ron Liepert is a high profile candidate and should hold this riding .
15 04 09 Dr. Bear
Threehundredeight's polling aggregation is now suggesting that this riding is a toss up with the Liberals and is actually tipping red. While I'm not convinced yet that the Liberals will be competitive here, I am looking at Calgary ridings with new interest.
15 03 26 Dr. Bear
Another riding where polling shows the Liberals behind by only 5 points. I'm quite surprised by this. While I'm saying a CPC hold, there is the potential for an upset.
15 03 25 Jack Cox
There are competitive ridings in Calgary now, but this definitely isn't one of them.

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