Election Prediction Project
www.electionprediction.com

Canada Federal Election - 2015

Yorkton-Melville


Prediction Changed
2015-03-17 23:44:08
 


 
Constituency Profile

Candidates:

Hughes, Elaine Marie

Malinoski, Brooke Taylor

Ottenbreit, Doug

Wagantall, Cathay


Population/populations
(2011 census)

71270


2011 Result/résultats (redistributed)

2360768.88%
752621.96%
22676.61%
8182.39%
Other 580.17%
Reference - Pundits’ Guide (2013 Rep)

Component Riding(s)
Circonscription(s) constituant


   Yorkton-Melville
   (196/222 polls, 92.79% of voters in new riding)
   2011/2008/2004 Predictions
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide (2003 Rep Order)

    Incumbent:
Garry Breitkreuz
21842
6914
2160
771


   Saskatoon-Humboldt
   (22/222 polls, 7.19% of voters in new riding)
   2011/2008/2004 Predictions
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide (2003 Rep Order)

    Incumbent:
Brad Trost
1756
525
84
45
Other58


   Desnethé-Missinippi-Churchill River
   (4/222 polls, 0.02% of voters in new riding)
   2011/2008/2004 Predictions
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide (2003 Rep Order)

    Incumbent:
Rob Clarke
9
87
23
2



 


Put your political/campaign ad here! Replace it with your campaign ad! See sponsorship details.

15 08 29 A.S.
99.233.125.239
Apropos of things historically Sask, at this point it'll take a Diefenbaker-scaled NDP landslide for this seat to return to its Nystrom-era allegiances. (Well, maybe somewhat less than that given how Ottenbreit's made a prior-candidate name for himself. But not *too* much less.)
15 08 13 R.O.
24.146.23.226
Long time conservative mp Garry Breitkreuz has retired , he held this riding since 1993 . but its mostly rural riding and new candidate Cathay Wagantall should be able to hold onto this riding for conservatives .
15 04 26 Docere
50.101.245.47
Yorkton-Melville is an excellent example of how 'prairie populism' has shifted from left to right. Once an NDP stronghold, this riding has shifted significantly rightward in the last decade.
15 03 29 monkey
174.114.31.13
Interestingly enough this used to be a solid NDP riding and in fact outgoing MP Garry Breitkreuz was even an NDP supporter in his earlier days. But like the rest of rural Saskatchewan, it is solidly Tory federally and solidly Saskatchewan Party provincially thus the days of the NDP winning in rural areas asides from the Far North of the province are over.
15 03 16 JW
99.232.118.35
While redistribution makes Regina and Saskatoon ridings very competitive between the Conservatives and the NDP, it also made all (but one) ridings outside the two cities overwhelmingly Conservative. Barring a major Conservative meltdown, this will safely remain Conservative.



Navigate to Canada 2015 Home | Provincial Index | Submission

Canada Federal Election - 2015
Election Prediction Project/Projet D'Élection Prévision - www.electionprediction.com
© Justice Quest Communications, 1999-2015 - Email Webmaster