Election Prediction Project
www.electionprediction.com

Canada Federal Election - 2015

Hastings-Lennox and Addington


Prediction Changed
2015-03-23 23:05:11
 


 
Constituency Profile

Candidates:

Bannon, Betty

Bossio, Mike

Kramp, Daryl

Mather, Cam


Population/populations
(2011 census)

92528


2011 Result/résultats (redistributed)

2362954.85%
1033523.99%
735217.07%
14763.43%
Other 2850.66%
Reference - Pundits’ Guide (2013 Rep)

Component Riding(s)
Circonscription(s) constituant


   Prince Edward-Hastings
   (107/210 polls, 54.80% of voters in new riding)
   2011/2008/2004 Predictions
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide (2003 Rep Order)

    Incumbent:
Daryl Kramp
13700
5518
3161
743
Other189


   Lanark-Frontenac-Lennox and Addington
   (101/210 polls, 45.20% of voters in new riding)
   2011/2008/2004 Predictions
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide (2003 Rep Order)

    Incumbent:
Scott Reid
9928
4816
4191
733
Other96



 


Put your political/campaign ad here! Replace it with your campaign ad! See sponsorship details.

15 10 15 Rjr
67.70.42.40
This new riding is very like the one Larry MaCormick MP won twice and Leona Dombrowsky won provincially , all Liberals. With Nanos polls showing 37.1 per cent Liberal voters intentions , this riding is in play. Liberal candidate has a good crew working on the ground and there is a decidedly anti - Harper attitude in the air. Nothing against Daryl PC as he does have nice hair!
15 10 13 DSR
213.104.176.154
Interested to see Trudeau campaigning in Napanee on Monday.
15 09 30 R.O.
24.146.23.226
This riding hasn't got much attention, its type of riding conservatives should hold onto as mp Daryl Kramp is running for re-election. And facing rookie ndp and liberal candidates . due to redistribution this exact riding hasn't existed before but would of went conservative in 2011.
15 07 21 A.S.
99.233.100.50
Kramp's now got himself one heck of a hinterland riding to handle; the closest thing to 'urban node' it's got is Napanee and Amherstview. And actually, those 'Lennox Loyalists' have been a bit ginger in their embrace of the Cons--the magnetism of moderation exerts its pull from the Kingston and Belleville directions--but even in the heart of the hinterland, don't discount NDP populism, either (this is the only place where the NDP defeated an incumbent Tory in the 1990 Rae landslide). Still, for now, it's just too 'out there' for anything but CPC to prevail. But being pushed below 40% isn't out of the question.
15 03 22 Dr. Bear
66.49.210.99
Total snooze-fest of a race. Rural Eastern Ontario will continue to be a bastion of Conservative support.



Navigate to Canada 2015 Home | Provincial Index | Submission

Canada Federal Election - 2015
Election Prediction Project/Projet D'Élection Prévision - www.electionprediction.com
© Justice Quest Communications, 1999-2015 - Email Webmaster