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Constituency Profile
Candidates:
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Farlow, Michael |  |
Hardeman, Ernie |  |
Hodges, Tim |  |
Moulton, Daniel |  |
Smith, Bryan |  |
Wright, Devin | Incumbent: |
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Ernie Hardeman |
Reference:
Pundits’ Guide – Ontario (Oxford)
2011 Provincial Election Prediction
2011 Federal Election Prediction
2008 Federal Election Prediction
2007 Provincial Election Prediction
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 | 14 05 28 |
A.S. 99.233.52.111 |
Given the increasing auto-industry element in Woodstock/Ingersoll, Andrea-on-overdrive *could have* targeted this--but that's just about the only ultra-faint hope of dislodging ol'Ernie. |
 | 14 05 05 |
Numbers Pundit 209.239.28.137 |
One of the safest PC seats in the province. Hardeman will enter his 20th year as the MPP for the riding in 2015. He returned to his 1995 and 1999 totals exceeding 50% of the popular vote in 2011 after dipping in both 2003 and 2007 when province-wide preferences were decidedly anti-PC. Hardeman will likely serve until health rather than desire limit continuing. |
 | 14 05 04 |
monkey 174.114.16.226 |
One of the bluest ridings in Southwestern Ontario, so the PCs will easily hold this as they are ahead in Southwestern Ontario, especially in the rural areas. |
 | 13 02 16 |
seasaw 99.225.1.213 |
This is one of the safest Tory seats. The Tories have only lost twice here in the past 5 or 6 decades. Once was in 1987, which they suffered their worst defeat, and once in 1990, when they were just rebuilding. So, it is safe to call this a PC hold. |
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