Election Prediction Project
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Ontario Provincial Election - 2014

Nickel Belt


Prediction Changed
2013-02-16 14:35:00
 


 
Constituency Profile

Candidates:

Blay, Marck

Dahlstrom, Heather K

Gelinas, France

Hyde, Adam

Tregonning, James

Incumbent:
France Gélinas

Reference:

  • Pundits’ Guide – Ontario (Nickel Belt)
  • 2011 Provincial Election Prediction
  • 2011 Federal Election Prediction
  • 2008 Federal Election Prediction
  • 2007 Provincial Election Prediction


    2011 Result:

    * FRANCE GÉLINAS
    1687654.86%
    TONY RYMA
    745124.22%
    PAULA PERONI
    562518.29%
    STEPHANIE-LYNN RUSSELL
    8102.63%
    2007 Result:
    FRANCE GÉLINAS
    15,12646.59%
    RON DUPUIS
    12,36438.08%
    RENÉE GERMAIN
    3,26310.05%
    FRED TWILLEY
    1,3744.23%
    RICHARD ST-DENIS
    3411.05%

    2003 Result (redistributed):

    1375938.39%
    480413.40%
    1656746.23%


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    14 06 11 A.S.
    99.231.139.81
    Let's remember that this isn't just the successor to the Martels' riding, it's the successor to Floyd Laughren's riding as well, i.e. it's superduper ONDP bedrock in a location where, well, bedrock is practically the economic base. Once in a while, whether due to perceived Dipper weakess or open seatness, Nickel Belt may be supertargeted into marginality--but definitely not now; if the ONDP is reduced to 2001 BC NDP levels, France Gelinas will be half of the last pair.
    14 06 05 NJam101
    63.135.17.148
    France Gelinas will easily win again in this long time NDP district. It doesn't matter how the provincial campaign does, she will win on her name alone. Gelinas is very popular everywhere in the riding. She is known for being hard-working and staying on top of issues in Nickel Belt. Probably the safest NDP seat in Northern Ontario right now.
    14 05 20 R.O.
    24.146.23.226
    Is a fairly safe riding for the Ontario ndp and current mpp Frances Gelinas , been that way for a while . can't see the other parties making much progress in this riding .
    14 05 19 nesooite
    173.76.174.83
    NDP will be a lock here. Gelinas a strong MPP, plus the history of NDP support in the riding (eg: Laughren, Rodriguez). Demographics actually favour the Liberals, but Gelinas will be too strong a candidate to overcome.
    14 05 04 monkey
    174.114.16.226
    This has long been an NDP stronghold and with the Liberals tanking in Northern Ontario and PCs weak once you get past North Bay, this should stay NDP.
    13 02 14 JB
    216.211.114.48
    The Nickel Belt has consistently voted NDP provincially since the early 70s. France Gelinas is a vocal northern MPP, and I can't see her losing this seat anytime soon.



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