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Constituency Profile
Candidates:
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Chan, Michael |  |
Kormos-Hawkins, Nadine |  |
O'Brien, Myles |  |
Small, Allen |  |
Thayaparan, Shan | Incumbent: |
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Michael Chan |
Reference:
Pundits’ Guide – Ontario (Markham-Unionville)
2011 Provincial Election Prediction
2011 Federal Election Prediction
2008 Federal Election Prediction
2007 Provincial Election Prediction
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 | 14 05 22 |
A.S. 99.233.52.111 |
Ethno-politics has rendered this unsinkably Grit; but a different kind of ethno-politics led to an even stranger opposition result in 2011--thanks a Tamil candidate, the poll-winning base of PC support wasn't WASPy-affluent Unionville as one might expect, but the heavily Tamil-inflected recent subdivisions around Markham and Steeles! And all the stranger given that federally, a few months earlier, the Jack/Rathika-spillover effect rendered those very same polls the seat's major poll-winning centre for *NDP* support! Ethnoburban political allegiances are never as clear-cut as they seem... |
 | 14 05 18 |
LB 174.138.198.64 |
Very safe liberal seat. Even Harper couldn't snatch this one away when the liberals were at 25%. Strong Liberal. |
 | 14 05 04 |
monkey 174.114.16.226 |
This was the only 905 riding that went Liberal last federal election and is also one of the most densely populated and least white (Hudak hasn't made inroads with the ethnic communities yet like their federal cousins have) so if the PCs win here, they sweep the 905 and win a massive majority. Based on the public mood now, that seems highly unlikely. Ironically this was one of the strongest PC ridings in the 1999 election, but the demographics have radically changed since then as well as the boundaries too. |
 | 13 03 30 |
seasaw 99.225.1.213 |
This was once a safe PC riding, now a very safe Liberal riding. Expect Chan to get at least 50%. |
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