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Constituency Profile
Candidates:
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Borenstein, Joshua |  |
Fagan, John |  |
Kwinter, Monte |  |
Yufest, Avi |
Incumbent: |
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Monte Kwinter |
Reference:
Pundits’ Guide – Ontario (York Centre)
2011 Provincial Election Prediction
2011 Federal Election Prediction
2008 Federal Election Prediction
2007 Provincial Election Prediction
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 | 14 06 03 |
seasaw 99.224.211.188 |
Though, this may be a lot closer than it was the last time, I believe that the advantage's going to go to the Liberals. Monte's done a great job for the people of this riding, the only thing that may work against him is his age, he's in his 80's, and many people won't vote for him for that reason alone. |
 | 14 05 22 |
A.S. 99.233.52.111 |
There *has* to come a point when age is a liability for Monte The K, esp. now that Toryward Jewish trends (plus Monte's age, I suppose) turned this into the 416's only (bare) Lib-PC marginal in 2011. Though Tory hopes are dampered this season by Premier Wynne's inherent 416-appeal and a lesser standard bearer--and perhaps, 416 PC forces are presently too distracted by keeping their Etobicoke-Lakeshore septugenarian going to give the extra effort to knock off this octogenarian... |
 | 14 05 30 |
A.S. 99.233.52.111 |
Btw/Kwinter's looming 'age factor' and the overall Jewish Toryward trend (and a viable PC candidate in Mostyn), this promised to be the Grits' weakest 416 link relative to the Tories in '11...yet Monte pulled through with a healthy-enough 10-pt margin: the provincial Grits 'cracked the code'. And the fact of Premier Wynne plus a lesser PC standard-bearer than Mostyn continues to work on Kwinter's behalf; it still *ought to be* a borderline seat, but maybe the 416 Tories are now too preoccupied w/retaining their Etobicoke-Lakeshore septugenerian to defeat York Centre's octogenerian... |
 | 14 05 28 |
R.O. 24.146.23.226 |
This is one of the few ridings in Toronto that should have some potential for the pc's however Wynne seems to be more popular in Toronto and that might keep some ridings liberal that could of otherwise went to other parties . it was very close by toronto standards the last couple elections and I was really surprised to see Monte Kwinter running again . Avi Yufest seems like an ok candidate for the pc's but maybe not as high profile as previous ones. |
 | 14 05 25 |
Marco Ricci 99.241.63.7 |
This riding should possibly be considered as Too Close To Call. Polling analyst Eric Grenier has the PC's with about a 50/50 chance of winning here in the latest seat projection model. While Monte Kwinter is a well-known incumbent, he only won by 10 points last time. The fact that Jewish voters have been increasingly moving towards the PC's (in Thornhill provincially & federally and now York Centre federally) could mean that Kwinter is vulnerable here. |
 | 13 09 15 |
198.200.89.110 |
With Kwinter running again, the liberals will hold this one. This riding, being the closest the Tories have to a pick-up in Toronto, will only swing if Wynne's campaign loses steam and flops. Lean liberal. |
 | 13 05 17 |
Teddy Boragina 198.96.35.90 |
York Centre has a history of leaning to the right at times. I'm predicting this riding TCTC for the time being, especially given the recent BC example of how the polls can be off and how fast things can change. |
 | 13 02 10 |
LFC Ottawa 134.117.196.241 |
If Monte runs again, the riding will stick with their MPP. If not, Adler's support base runs through the riding and makes it the only blue seat that is completly in the 416. Waiting to make a call here. |
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